NZD/JPY Price Analysis: On the bear's watchlist as price holds below 4-HR resistance

  • NZD/JPY bears looking into prospects below the support structure.
  • The monthly chart also offers upside potential still as well as downside from current resistance.

NZD/JPY is dipping in and out of bearish 4-hour technical readings and testing both a critical resistance and support level of the consolidation channel in doing so.

The following is a bearish assessment which offers the prospects of a short on the break of the support structure.

In a top-down analysis, we can see that there is too much risk of a continuation of the broader bullish trend to anything with the pair until a bearish environment has been confirmed. 

Monthly chart

There could still be some more upside to go yet, so the prudent thing to do is monitor for price action signals and a confirmation of a bearish environment on the short term charts. 

Weekly chart

The weekly outlook could develop a similar price action pattern as illustrated above towards bearish targets 1 and 2.

Daily chart

There is a 1,2,3 set up and it would appear that the current resistance is holding up, creating the prospects for wave 3 to the downside.

4HR chart

While the price holds above the support structure, there is not a strong enough bias to sell the pair until the structure is broken. 

However, a short taken at market protected by a stop loss placed above structure is offering a 2.5 risk to reward.

Although, the same could be achieved with more conviction once the price is below the 21 moving average and on a break and restest of the support structure turning into new resistance. 

Update: Sell limit in

Update: Target moved to breakeven

There has been a sharp move to the downside breaking structure which invalidates the trade.

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Feed news

How do emotions affect trade?
Follow up our daily analysts guidance

Subscribe Today!    

Latest Forex News

Latest Forex News

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD: Fears will continue to support the dollar

The EUR/USD pair has lost some ground this week, trading in the 1.1700 price zone. Central banks are cautiously moving toward trimming their massive stimulus programs. Growth-related data suggests a steeper deceleration of economic progress.


GBP/USD: Rate laurels go the the US Federal Reserve

BOE leaves rates, asset purchases unchanged, warns on inflation. Federal Reserve and Chair Powell set the stage for bond taper. US Treasury rates move sharply higher after the FOMC meeting. GBP/USD drops below 1.3700 in Friday trading.


Gold remains vulnerable amid hawkish Fed outlook

Following the previous week’s decline, gold staged a rebound and closed in the positive territory on Monday and Tuesday. After reaching its strongest level since last Thursday’s sharp decline at $1,787 on Wednesday.

Gold News

PBoC imposes ban on crypto trading as it fosters ‘illegal financial activity’

PBoC bans crypto trading activities and a plethora of associated services, labeling it “illegal.” Overseas cryptocurrency exchanges providing services to Chinese residents will be investigated in accordance with the law. 

Read more

What's next?

As Q3 winds down and Q4 begins, the broad investment climate is being shaped by the turning of the monetary cycle.  Norway was the first, and New Zealand will be next.  It is not so much that these moves will force others to do the same.

Read more