Nikkei Futures (NKD_F) Reached Support Area [Video]

Elliott Wave Forecast Team ElliottWave-Forecast.com

Cycle from 10.4.2023 low in Nikkei Futures (NKD) is in progress as a 5 waves Elliott Wave diagonal. Up from 10.4.2023 low, wave 1 ended at 32690 and pullback in wave 2 ended at 30405. The Index extended higher in wave 3 towards 33870. Wave 4 ended as a zigzag structure. Down from wave 3, wave (i) ended at 33200 and rally in wave (ii) ended at 33835. Index extended lower again in wave (iii) towards 33195 and wave (iv) ended at 33585. Wave (v) lower ended at 32695 which completed wave ((a)).

Corrective rally in wave ((b)) unfolded as a zigzag structure. Up from wave ((a)), wave (a) ended at 32975 and pullback in wave (b) ended at 32850. Final leg wave (c) ended at 33465 which completed wave ((b)). The Index then extended lower in wave ((c)) as a 5 waves impulse. Down from wave ((b)), wave (i) ended at 33335 and wave (ii) ended at 33430. Wave (iii) lower ended at 32350 and wave (iv) ended at 32505. Final leg wave (v) ended at 32211 which completed wave ((c)) of 4. Wave 5 higher is currently in progress. As far as pivot at 32211 low stays intact, expect the Index to extend higher. Break below 32211 from here suggests the Index is still in the process of ending wave 4.

Nikkei Futures (NKD) 60 Minutes Elliott Wave Chart

NKD_F Elliott Wave Video

Author

Elliott Wave Forecast Team

ElliottWave-Forecast.com

AUD/USD remains below 0.7000 amid light trading

AUD/USD fills a modest bearish gap on Monday, but remains below 0.7000 in the Asian session amid holiday-thinned liquidity. The US Dollar attempts a bounce even as US bond yields pull back from multi-year highs, limiting the pair. Moreover, diminishing odds of another RBA rate hike in November cap the Aussie.

USD/JPY hovers above 158.00 amid Japan/ US holiday

USD/JPY extends its range-bound price action into a new week, trading above 158.00 as bulls remain on high alert amid speculation that authorities will step in to prop up the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, softer US bond yields keep US Dollar bulls on the back foot and cap the pair's upside. However, geopolitical uncertainties could limit losses for the safe-haven buck amid thin liquidity due to a holiday in Japan and the US.

Gold remains vulnerable below $4,200 on Fed hike bets

Gold is under mild selling pressure on Monday, trading at around $4,170. The US Dollar advances modestly in thin trading, supported by bets that the Federal Reserve will hike rates at least one more time before year-end.

Bitcoin struggles as ETF outflows, geopolitical uncertainty weigh

Bitcoin hovers around $83,600 on Monday after a 3.1% correction last week. US-listed spot ETFs recorded an outflow of $681.10 million last week, snapping the three-week inflow streak. Geopolitical uncertainty and mixed signals keep investors cautious.

The week ahead: A critical week as earnings and CPI test market

The Oil price is relatively stable this morning, and US and European stock markets are poised to open higher, as risk sentiment shrugs off an escalation in the Middle East and concerns about rising bond yields.

Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?

Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?