|

Next target for USD/JPY is seen at 149.50 – UOB

In the view of Markets Strategist Quek Ser Leang and Senior FX Strategist Peter Chia at UOB Group, extra gains could push USD/JPY to the mid-149.00s sooner rather than later.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: After USD rebounded to a high of 148.43 last Friday, we indicated yesterday that “the rebound in USD has scope to extend, but it is unlikely to break clearly above 149.00.” In line with our expectations, USD rose but did not break 149.00 (high of 148.97). Upward momentum has improved, albeit not much. Today, USD is likely to advance above 149.00. However, the major resistance at 149.50 is likely out of reach (there is another resistance at 149.20). Support is at 148.60; a breach of 148.30 would mean that USD is not advancing further. 

Next 1-3 weeks: Yesterday (25 Sep, spot at 148.40), we indicated that while upward momentum has improved, it is not enough to indicate that USD is ready to advance in a sustained manner. We also indicated that USD has to break and stay above 149.00 before further advance is likely. In NY trade, USD rose to a high of 148.97. While there is no clear break of 149.00, upward momentum has improved further. From here, as long as USD stays above 147.80 (‘strong support’ level was at 147.40 yesterday), it could advance to 149.50. 

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.