|

New Zealand Dollar declines amid risk aversion, RBNZ rate cut expectations

  • The New Zealand Dollar declines sharply on Wednesday as global risk aversion intensifies.
  • Softer producer price data strengthens expectations of an RBNZ rate cut next week.
  • Investors await the release of the FOMC minutes, while the US Dollar stays supported by safe-haven flows.

NZD/USD trades around 0.5600 at the time of writing on Wednesday, down 1.10% on the day, hitting a new eight-month low as disappointing New Zealand data and a broader deterioration in risk sentiment weigh heavily on the currency.

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) remains under pressure following weaker-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI) figures. According to the official statistics agency, Input prices rose only 0.2% in the third quarter, down from 0.6% previously and well below the 0.9% expected. Output prices increased by 0.6%, missing expectations of a slight acceleration. These releases follow recent comments from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) indicating that inflation expectations are now anchored near 2% and that unemployment climbed to 5.3% in Q3, its highest level in nine years. These factors strengthen market expectations for a rate cut at next week’s meeting.

In the United States (US), recent data have not painted a particularly positive macroeconomic picture, yet the US Dollar (USD) is benefiting from safe-haven inflows as global uncertainty rises. This week’s Initial Jobless Claims and ADP employment numbers have added to signs of a cooling US labor market, supporting expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) could cut interest rates in December. For now, the US Dollar remains well supported as investors adopt a cautious stance ahead of the release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes later in the day and, above all, Thursday’s delayed Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report for September.

New Zealand Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of New Zealand Dollar (NZD) against listed major currencies today. New Zealand Dollar was the strongest against the Japanese Yen.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.41%0.58%0.85%0.51%0.72%1.15%0.67%
EUR-0.41%0.17%0.42%0.10%0.32%0.73%0.26%
GBP-0.58%-0.17%0.27%-0.07%0.14%0.56%0.09%
JPY-0.85%-0.42%-0.27%-0.32%-0.11%0.33%-0.16%
CAD-0.51%-0.10%0.07%0.32%0.22%0.64%0.16%
AUD-0.72%-0.32%-0.14%0.11%-0.22%0.42%-0.05%
NZD-1.15%-0.73%-0.56%-0.33%-0.64%-0.42%-0.47%
CHF-0.67%-0.26%-0.09%0.16%-0.16%0.05%0.47%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the New Zealand Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent NZD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Ghiles Guezout

Ghiles Guezout is a Market Analyst with a strong background in stock market investments, trading, and cryptocurrencies. He combines fundamental and technical analysis skills to identify market opportunities.

More from Ghiles Guezout
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD hangs near three-week low, below 0.6950 as traders await US NFP report

AUD/USD hits a three-week low during the Asian session on Friday as the RBA’s dovish shift and a rout in equity markets weigh on the risk-sensitive Aussie. However, the recent slump in US bond yields to a two-month low keeps US Dollar bulls on the back foot and limits losses for the currency pair as traders look to the US NFP report for a fresh impetus.

USD/JPY bounces off three-week low; keeps the red near 157.65 as focus remains on US NFP

USD/JPY bounces off the weekly low set during the Asian session, as bears turn cautious ahead of the US NFP report due later this Friday. The upside seems limited as the recent slump in US bond yields and hopes of Iran war de-escalation undermine the US Dollar. Moreover, a hawkish BoJ and intervention risks support the Japanese Yen, capping the pair.

Gold retakes $4,100 as weak US bond yields and USD support ahead of US NFP

Gold attracts dip-buyers during the Asian session on Friday, stalling the previous day’s pullback from a two-week high. The recent fall in US bond yields undermines the US Dollar amid hopes for Iran diplomacy, supporting the bullion. However, a higher-rate environment warrants caution for XAU/USD bulls as focus remains on the crucial US NFP report.

Ethereum falls 7% as AI sell-off hits crypto

Ethereum falls 7% to $2,230 on Thursday as AI stock sell-offs spilled into the crypto market. The top altcoin's decline wiped out all of Wednesday's post-US midterm gains, triggering $181.8 million in ETH liquidations over the past 24 hours. Long liquidations dominated, totaling $149.7 million, according to Coinglass data.

Neither the election nor the US Dollar: Why Friday's payrolls hold the key to Gold's next move

Gold has climbed back above $4,000 as the US Dollar weakened following a Democratic sweep in the US midterm elections. However, with every Gold rally facing heavy selling throughout the year, investors are looking to Friday's Nonfarm Payrolls report to determine whether this move marks a sustainable breakout or just another temporary rebound.

US Dollar breaks below 101.50 as Democrats sweep Congress
The US Dollar (USD) comes under heavy selling pressure on Wednesday, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) falling around 0.5% to trade near 101.35 after sliding below the 101.50 level. The Greenback retreats to its lowest level in four weeks as investors reassess the political and economic outlook following the Democratic Party's sweeping victory in the United States (US) midterm elections.