Natural Gas Price Analysis: Reverses from support-turned-resistance towards $2.66

Natural Gas Price prints the first daily loss in three while reversing from three-week-old previous support.
Looming bear cross on MACD, descending RSI line add strength to downside bias targeting 21-EMA.
61.8% Fibonacci retracement checks XNG/USD bears; 1.5-month-old ascending resistance line appears key hurdle for Natural Gas buyers.

Anil Panchal FXStreet

Natural Gas Price (XNG/USD) drops more than 2.0% to $2.71 early Monday as it snaps the previous day's two-day run-up while reversing from a six-week-old support-turned-resistance line.

Not only the XNG/USD’s U-turn from the previous support line but the impending bear cross on the MACD and downward-sloping RSI (14) line from the overbought territory add strength to the bearish bias about the Natural Gas Price.

However, the 21-Exonential Moving Average (EMA) level of $2.66 put a floor under the short-term XNG/USD price.

It’s worth noting that the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of its March-April fall, near $2.71, limits the immediate downside of the Natural Gas Price whereas the 50% Fibonacci retracement level can act as additional support for the energy instrument near $2.60.

In a case where the XNG/USD remains bearish past $2.60, April’s peak of $2.58 will act as the last defense of the Natural Gas sellers.

On the contrary, a run-up beyond the previous support line, around $2.83 by the press time, isn’t an open invitation to the Natural Gas buyers as an upward-sloping resistance line from May 19, close to $2.95, will challenge the upside momentum before directing the price to March’s peak of near $3.08.

Also acting as an upside filter is the $3.00 psychological magnet.

Overall, the Natural Gas Price is likely to witness further downside but the room towards the south appears limited.

Natural Gas Price: Daily chart

Trend: Further weakness expected

Author

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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