|

JPY advances on narrowing yield spreads to 2022 Lows – Scotiabank

The Japanese Yen (JPY) is strengthening again, up 0.3% against the US Dollar (USD) as USD/JPY moves back toward Monday’s lows and threatens a broader retracement of its mid-November weakness, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.

Markets hold steady on BoJ path with 25bp hike priced by March

"The yen is up 0.3% vs. the USD and a mid-performer among the G10 currencies as it pushes back toward Monday’s highs (USDJPY lows) and threatens a more meaningful retracement of the weakness observed since mid-November."

"The outlook for relative central bank policy remains supportive and yield spreads are narrowing to fresh multi-year lows at levels last seen in 2022."

"Domestic rate expectations are little changed with markets pricing 20bpts of tightening for December and a full 25bpt hike by March. There are no major domestic releases scheduled through the end of the weak, leaving the focus squarely centered on broader developments."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD clings to gains near 1.3650 after mixed UK data

GBP/USD trades in positive territory at around 1.3650 in the European session on Friday as the upbeat PMI data supports Pound Sterling despite disappointing Retail Sales figures. Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) struggles to stay resilient against its peers following the Treasury Department's decision to boost long-term bond purchases earlier in the week, helping the pair hold its ground ahead of US PMI data.

EUR/USD holds near 1.1700 ahead of US PMI data

EUR/USD consolidates its weekly gains at around 1.1700 in the European session on Friday following the mixed PMI prints from Germany and the Eurozone. Investors await preliminary August PMI surveys for the US, while the persistent USD weakness allows the pair to keep its footing.

Gold hits fresh high since June above $4,550 as receding Fed hike bets undermine USD

Gold sticks to modest gains near its highest level since early June, touched earlier this Friday, and trades just above $4,550 heading into the European session. The commodity is looking to build on the breakout momentum above a technically significant 200-day Simple Moving Average amid a weaker US Dollar. Traders scaled back their bets on an immediate interest rate hike by the Fed after the latest US inflation data released last week signaled signs of cooling price pressures.

Bulls in control with Bitcoin heading toward $80,000, Ethereum $2,500, XRP $1.50
Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) are extending their rallies as bullish momentum strengthens and continue to cheer the US Treasury’s decision to double its debt buyback operations. BTC has climbed nearly 20%, ETH over 25% and XRP nearly 30% so far this week.
The Japanese Yen’s historic rescue is running out of steam
The Japanese Yen staged a spectacular 900-pip comeback after a historic US-Japan intervention. Less than three weeks later, that rescue is already showing signs of fading. The Yen is benefiting somewhat from a softer US Dollar, but its downward trend is likely to resume as the underlying pressure on the currency has not disappeared.
$20 billion offered, $2 billion taken: Why Treasury doubled its buyback cap

The US Treasury moved off its own calendar on Wednesday, and that is the part worth sitting with. At 12:32 GMT, the department said it would at least double the size of liquidity support buyback operations in the 10-year to 20-year and 20-year to 30-year sectors, lifting the maximum from $2 billion per operation to at least $4 billion, effective September 9 and running to November 4.