|

Indonesia: Trade surplus extends the uptrend in June – UOB

Economist Enrico Tanuwidjaja and Haris Handy at UOB Group assessed the latest trade results in Indonesia.

Key Quotes

“Indonesia reported another month of trade surplus of USD1.3bn in June 2020 following the USD2.0bn surplus (revised figure) in May. June’s exports rebounded by 2.3% y/y from May’s - 29.5%, on the back of returning demand from Indonesia’s main trading partners i.e. China, US, Japan, Singapore, and India. On the other hand, imports contracted less at -6.4% y/y in June vs. -42.2% in the previous month, indicating stronger domestic demand on the last month of 2Q20, after the government decided to partially ease the large-scale social restriction.”

“From January to June of this year, Indonesia booked a USD5.5bn trade surplus which was significantly higher than the USD1.8bn deficit recorded over the same period last year. As such, this may continue to improve Indonesia’s trade balance, thus shrinking the Current Account Deficit (CAD) to our forecast at -1.5% of GDP this year.”

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD clings to daily gains near 1.3350

GBP/USD holds just in positive territory around 1.3350 on Friday as the Greenback keeps a vacillating price action. With Fed rate hike expectations easing and US markets closed for the Independence Day holiday, Cable remains on track to post solid weekly gains.

EUR/USD remains sidelined around 1.1440

EUR/USD holds on to its recent gains and consolidates around 1.1440 at the end of the week as the US Dollar lacks clear direction. In the meantime, trading conditions remain subdued, with volatility constrained by the closure of US markets for the Independence Day holiday.

Gold flirts with two-week highs, targets $4,200

Gold extends its recovery for a third straight day, advancing toward the $4,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal looks set to snap a four-week losing streak as softer-than-expected June US NFP data prompt investors to scale back expectations of further Fed tightening.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP advance amid renewed capital inflows

Bitcoin maintains its upward momentum, holding above the $61,000 mark at the time of writing on Friday. Major altcoins such as Ethereum and Ripple are also posting gains, signaling a modest uptick in market sentiment and renewed risk appetite among investors.

The Iran war failed to trigger a recession. Can the US economy keep defying expectations?

Nearly four months after the start of the Iran war, the US economy remains remarkably resilient. While the conflict initially triggered a severe disruption to global energy markets and a sharp rise in Oil prices, recent diplomatic progress between Washington and Tehran has eased concerns about a prolonged supply shock.

Kevin Warsh offers no policy clues: Why markets still got their answer

Financial markets came to Sintra looking for clues about the Federal Reserve's (Fed) next move. They largely left with confirmation that Fed Chair Kevin Warsh intends to make those clues much harder to find.