|

Gridlocked Washington and covid risks to weigh on risk appetite

As the US passes 25m covid cases, there are signs of gridlock in Washington.

The COVID-19 pandemic has killed more than 417,000 Americans, thrown millions out of work and is infecting more than 175,000 Americans per day, posing an immediate crisis to the Biden administration. 

One of President Joe Biden’s top economic aides on Sunday will press Democratic and Republican senators for a fresh $1.9 trillion in coronavirus relief to help struggling Americans and avert a larger economic crisis.

However, while Congress has already authorized $4 trillion to respond, a slimly lead majority in the House and Senate may not be enough to get bipartisan support to clear procedural hurdles without reconciliation, which allows major legislation to pass the Senate on a simple majority.

Senator Mitt Romney, who is a moderate Republican, for instance, has said he would listen to what the White House had to say, “but the total figure is pretty shocking.” 

A number of others from the GOP have also balked at the number.

Market implications

As set out in this week's S&P 500 Index article, there are concerns over not just the politics but also the spread and variants. 

Combined with the US politics and inflammatory headlines such as the US entry ban on non US travellers from the UK, it could make for a risk-off play which puts a focus on high beta forex pairs, such as AUD/JPY for the open and the days ahead.

The Chart of the Week: AUD/JPY bears step up to challenge the bulls at key resistance

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD jumps to 0.7050, fresh one-month top after hot Australian CPI

AUD/USD attracts buyers for the second straight day on Wednesday, rising to a fresh high since September 23 during the Asian session. A hot Australian CPI print reaffirmed bets for an imminent RBA rate hike in November and boosted the Australian Dollar. Meanwhile, the US Dollar pauses after a three-day rally to a near two-week high ahead of the crucial FOMC rate decision, lending additional support to the currency pair.

USD/JPY sticks to modest gains above 157.50 as traders await Fed, BoJ meetings

USD/JPY attracts buyers for the third straight day, recovering further from a one-month low ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC decision and the BoJ policy update on Friday. Meanwhile, expectations that the BoJ may hold off on aggressive rate hikes weigh on the Japanese Yen, and the US Dollar advances to a nearly two-week high, supporting the currency pair.

Gold rises above $4,050 ahead of Fed rate decision

Gold price jumps to around $4,065 during the early Asian session on Wednesday, bolstered by lower oil prices. Traders await the Federal Reserve's policy meeting later on Wednesday for signals on ‌the future path of US interest rates.



Ethereum ETFs near record monthly outflows as ETH tests $2,310
Ethereum (ETH) held steady on Tuesday, consolidating at $2,340, just above $2,300 after last week’s decline. Three measures sit within about $18 of each other: ETH’s realized price at $2,310, the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2,315, and the $2,328 average cost basis of wallets holding 1K-10K ETH.
FOMC outlook: Why keeping rates unchanged might not be enough
Tomorrow's FOMC meeting could be quite interesting, even if the Federal Reserve decides to leave interest rates unchanged. According to the latest market expectations, there is currently a 92.8% probability that rates will remain at 3.75–4.00%, while the probability of another 25 basis point increase stands at just 7.2%.
Anthropic pledged $270 billion to Amazon, Google, and Microsoft. Here's who actually gets paid
Anthropic owes Amazon, Google, and Microsoft at least $269.4 billion for computing power, even if it uses less. All three sell its models and handle its billing, and Amazon and Google own stakes and lend it money, so they get paid regardless of how the IPO goes. The Dario Amodei-led Anthropic filed its initial public offering (IPO) on Monday, seeking a listing on the Nasdaq under the ticker ANT.