|

Gold: Probing 50-hour MA amid treasury yield curve steepening

  • Gold is mildly bid at press time near the 50-hour moving average hurdle.
  • The American Dollar is finding little love despite the treasury yield curve steepening, a sign of fading recession fears.

Gold is looking to move back above the 50-hour moving average, currently at $1,282 amid the yield curve steepening and a decline in the US dollar.

The spread between the yields on the US 10-year treasury note and the two-year Treasury note rose to 24 basis points earlier today, the highest level since Nov. 29, and is currently seen at 23 basis points.

Put simply, the yield curve is now the steepest since Nov. 29, a sign of fading US recession fears. Even so, gold, a safe haven asset, is pushing against the 50-hour MA hurdle, possibly due to weakness in the greenback.

The Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the value of the greenback against major currencies, is currently trading at a five-day low of 97.980, representing a 0.10 percent drop on the day.

Both the DXY and gold ended Monday with losses, which is somewhat surprising, as the official data had shown  US consumer spending increased by the most in more than 9-1/2 years in March, the official data showed. The 10-year yield almost five basis points to 2.542 percent.

While the Dollar's decline goes unexplained, the drop in the yellow metal was likely associated with the five basis point rise in the 10-year treasury yield to 2.54 percent.

Gold Technical Levels

    1. R3 1293.25
    2. R2 1290.05
    3. R1 1284.58
  1. PP 1281.38
    1. S1 1275.91
    2. S2 1272.71
    3. S3 1267.24

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD clings to daily gains near 1.3350

GBP/USD holds just in positive territory around 1.3350 on Friday as the Greenback keeps a vacillating price action. With Fed rate hike expectations easing and US markets closed for the Independence Day holiday, Cable remains on track to post solid weekly gains.

EUR/USD remains sidelined around 1.1440

EUR/USD holds on to its recent gains and consolidates around 1.1440 at the end of the week as the US Dollar lacks clear direction. In the meantime, trading conditions remain subdued, with volatility constrained by the closure of US markets for the Independence Day holiday.

Gold flirts with two-week highs, targets $4,200

Gold extends its recovery for a third straight day, advancing toward the $4,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal looks set to snap a four-week losing streak as softer-than-expected June US NFP data prompt investors to scale back expectations of further Fed tightening.

Week ahead: ISM services PMI and Fed Minutes to shake Fed hike bets

Dollar drops on NFP, but rate hike still expected by year-end. ISM services PMI and Fed minutes are the greenback’s next catalysts. RBNZ expected to raise rates, focus will be on forward guidance. ECB minutes, China CPI and Canada’s jobs report also on the agenda.

The Iran war failed to trigger a recession. Can the US economy keep defying expectations?

Nearly four months after the start of the Iran war, the US economy remains remarkably resilient. While the conflict initially triggered a severe disruption to global energy markets and a sharp rise in Oil prices, recent diplomatic progress between Washington and Tehran has eased concerns about a prolonged supply shock.

Kevin Warsh offers no policy clues: Why markets still got their answer

Financial markets came to Sintra looking for clues about the Federal Reserve's (Fed) next move. They largely left with confirmation that Fed Chair Kevin Warsh intends to make those clues much harder to find.