|

Gold: Probing 50-hour MA amid treasury yield curve steepening

  • Gold is mildly bid at press time near the 50-hour moving average hurdle.
  • The American Dollar is finding little love despite the treasury yield curve steepening, a sign of fading recession fears.

Gold is looking to move back above the 50-hour moving average, currently at $1,282 amid the yield curve steepening and a decline in the US dollar.

The spread between the yields on the US 10-year treasury note and the two-year Treasury note rose to 24 basis points earlier today, the highest level since Nov. 29, and is currently seen at 23 basis points.

Put simply, the yield curve is now the steepest since Nov. 29, a sign of fading US recession fears. Even so, gold, a safe haven asset, is pushing against the 50-hour MA hurdle, possibly due to weakness in the greenback.

The Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the value of the greenback against major currencies, is currently trading at a five-day low of 97.980, representing a 0.10 percent drop on the day.

Both the DXY and gold ended Monday with losses, which is somewhat surprising, as the official data had shown  US consumer spending increased by the most in more than 9-1/2 years in March, the official data showed. The 10-year yield almost five basis points to 2.542 percent.

While the Dollar's decline goes unexplained, the drop in the yellow metal was likely associated with the five basis point rise in the 10-year treasury yield to 2.54 percent.

Gold Technical Levels

    1. R3 1293.25
    2. R2 1290.05
    3. R1 1284.58
  1. PP 1281.38
    1. S1 1275.91
    2. S2 1272.71
    3. S3 1267.24

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).