|

Gold Price Forecast: XAUUSD eyes $1,863 and $1,867 on road to recovery – Confluence Detector

  • Gold Price is staging a comeback as investors remain upbeat ahead of the critical US inflation.

  • The US dollar pauses its upsurge as the Treasury yields see a minor pullback.

  • The path of least resistance appears to the upside for XAUUSD this Monday.

Gold Price is on a recovery mode this Monday, kicking off a new week on the right footing, as bulls reverse Friday’s deep losses. The upbeat US labor market report lifted the bids for the dollar alongside the Treasury yielding, weighing heavily on the bright metal. Bulls are attempting a comeback, as USD bulls take a breather ahead of the all-important US inflation release. The persistent strength in oil prices has helped gold price find a floor, reviving its demand as a hedge against energy costs-driven inflation worries. Let’s take a look at how the yellow metal is positioned on the various timeframes, technically.

Also read: Gold, Chart of the Week: XAU/USD bulls eye a break of critical daily resistance

Gold Price: Key levels to watch

The Technical Confluence Detector shows that the Gold Price needs to find acceptance above the critical intersection of the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day, Fibonacci 61.8% one-week and the previous high four-hour.

The next relevant upside target is seen at the Fibonacci 61.8% one-month at $1,863, above which the immediate barrier at $1,865 will be put to test. That level is the confluence of the Fibonacci 61.8% one-day and SMA200 four-hour.

Further up, the pivot point one-day R1 at $1,867 will guard the bearish interests, with the last line of defense for sellers seen at $1,874. That level is the meeting point of the previous week’s high and the pivot point one-week R1.

On the flip side, powerful support appears at $1,851, where the Fibonacci 23.6% one-day, SMA50 four-hour and SMA5 one-day.

A breach of the latter will expose the previous day’s low of $1,847, below which the SMA200 one-day at $1,842 will be challenged.

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About Technical Confluences Detector

The TCD (Technical Confluences Detector) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc.  If you are a short-term trader, you will find entry points for counter-trend strategies and hunt a few points at a time. If you are a medium-to-long-term trader, this tool will allow you to know in advance the price levels where a medium-to-long-term trend may stop and rest, where to unwind positions, or where to increase your position size.

 

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD declines toward 1.1700 on solid USD recovery

EUR/USD turns south and declines toward 1.1700 on Wednesday. A solid comeback staged by the US Dollar weighs heavily on the pair, as traders look to USD short covering ahead of US CPI on Thursday. However, the downside could be capped by hawkish ECB expectations. 

GBP/USD slides toward 1.3300 after softer-than-expected UK inflation data

GBP/USD has come under intense selling pressure, eyeing 1.3300 in the European session on Wednesday. The UK annual headline and core CPI rose by 3.2% each, missing estimates of 3.5% and 3.4%, respectively, reaffirming dovish BoE expectations and smashing the Pound Sterling across the board. 

Gold clings to modest gains above $4,300

Following Tuesday's volatile action, Gold regains its traction on Wednesday and trades in positive territory above $4,300. While the buildup in the USD recovery momentum caps XAU/USD's upside, the cautious market stance helps ithe pair hold its ground.

Bitcoin risks deeper correction as ETF outflows mount, derivative traders stay on the sidelines

Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, trading below $87,000 on Wednesday, nearing a key support level. A decisive daily close below this zone could open the door to a deeper correction.

Monetary policy: Three central banks, three decisions, the same caution

While the Fed eased its monetary policy on 10 December for the third consecutive FOMC meeting, without making any guarantees about future action, the BoE, the ECB and the BoJ are holding their respective meetings this week. 

AAVE slips below $186 as bearish signals outweigh the SEC investigation closure

Aave (AAVE) price continues its decline, trading below $186 at the time of writing on Wednesday after a rejection at the key resistance zone. Derivatives positioning and momentum indicators suggest that bearish forces still dominate in the near term.