|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD stays bearish below $1,680 hurdle, focus on central banks – Confluence Detector

  • Gold price holds lower ground near two-year bottom flashed on Fed day.
  • Risk-aversion, firmer DXY joins downside break of $1,680 level to keep bears hopeful.
  • Multiple central bankers are in line to woo market players, hawkish moves could weigh on XAU/USD.

Gold price (XAU/USD) reverses the bounce off two-year low year, marked the previous day, as risk-aversion intensifies ahead of the key central bank events. That said, the metal’s latest weakness could also be linked to the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) third rate hike worth 75 basis points (bps) and hopes of a painful journey to tame inflation moving forward. Additionally, global agitation towards Russia’s mobilization of troops and fears surrounding China are extra negatives for the metal prices. Above all, the metal’s sustained downside break of the $1,680 key support keeps the bears hopeful as multiple central banks are likely to follow the Fed’s hawkish path.

Also read: Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD awaits bear pennant confirmation for a fresh downswing

Gold Price: Key levels to watch

The Technical Confluence Detector shows that the gold price has breached the $1,680 support confluence comprising the previous yearly low and the pivot point one month S1.

With this, the bears are now bracing for the fresh multi-month low, which in turn highlights the pivot point one-day S1 and lower-end of the Bollinger on one-day, around $1,657.

Following that, the previous weekly low near $1,655 may offer an intermediate halt during the metal’s further downside before directing it towards the pivot point one month S2, near $1,644.

Meanwhile, recovery moves could initially attack the SMA10 1H and the Fibonacci 61.8% one day, around $1,667. However, major attention will be given to the $1,680 level during the XAU/USD’s further advances.

In a case where the gold price rise beyond $1,680, the odds of witnessing a run-up towards $1,700 can’t be ruled out.

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About Technical Confluences Detector

The TCD (Technical Confluences Detector) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc.  If you are a short-term trader, you will find entry points for counter-trend strategies and hunt a few points at a time. If you are a medium-to-long-term trader, this tool will allow you to know in advance the price levels where a medium-to-long-term trend may stop and rest, where to unwind positions, or where to increase your position size.

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD keeps the offered stance just above 1.1700

EUR/USD is coming under heavy selling pressure in what has been a rather grim start to the new trading week, with the pair now trading close to the 1.1700 support area as the US Dollar stages a solid rebound. The prevailing flight to safety mood continues to favour the Greenback, as investors react to the escalating conflict in the Middle East and trim risk exposure across the board.

GBP/USD hits new yearly lows near 1.3300

GBP/USD adds to the recent bearish tone, approaching to the key 1.3300 support to reach fresh YTD troughs against the backdrop of the robust performance of the US Dollar. Indeed, Cable’s decline comes amid the firm demand for the safe-haven space in the wake of the US and Israel attacks to Iran.

Gold trims losses, back below $5,400

Gold now surrenders part of the earlier advance past the $5,400 mark per troy ounce at the beginning of the week. Indeed, the precious metal’s strong uptick remains fuelled by increasing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East amid the intense demand for safer assets.

Bitcoin on brink of breakdown amid US-Iran war

Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure near the key support level of $65,700. Trading at $66,400 at the time of writing on Monday, a breakdown below this critical level would suggest a deeper correction ahead.

The Fed is finally talking about AI – Here's why it matters for the US Dollar

AI is moving from earnings calls into the heart of monetary policy discussions, forcing Federal Reserve officials to confront a new question: How to act if AI reshapes inflation, employment and interest rates at the same time?

Grass 20% bullish breakout defies broader market weakness

Grass (GRASS) is edging up above $0.30 at the time of writing on Monday. The token’s notable 20% intraday surge stands out amid heightened volatility in the broader crypto market.