Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD sees exhaustion around $1,820 after a downside move, DXY skids


  • Gold price is expected to rebound as a retest of Wednesday’s low shows a loss of downside momentum.
  • The hawkish commentary from Fed Powell has put the gold prices on tenterhooks for a prolonged period.
  • The DXY is performing lackluster on the downbeat US PMI.

Gold price (XAU/USD) is hoping for a rebound as the gold bears are indicating a loss of momentum after testing Wednesday’s low around $1,820.00. The precious metal is oscillating in a narrow range of $1,822.67-1,825.47 from the late New York session and is now showing some signs of an upside break of the rangebound move.

The commentary from Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell’s testimony that the central bank is ‘unintentionally committed’ to bringing price stability in the US economy has kept the gold prices on the tenterhooks. To achieve the targeted inflation rate, the Fed is needed to elevate interest rates quickly. Comparing the current inflation rate with the targeted one, the former is at least four times of the latter.

Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) is expecting a downside move on displaying underperformance on the Purchase Managers Index (PMI) front. The Manufacturing PMI landed at 52.4 much lower than forecasts and the prior print of 56 and 57 respectively. Also, the Services PMI slipped sharply to 51.6 from the consensus of 53.5 and the prior print of 53.4.

Gold technical analysis

On a broader note, the gold prices are displaying topsy-turvy moves in a range of $1,821.72-1,847.95. The 20- and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at $1,828.30 and $1,831.58 respectively are scaling lower, which strengthens a downside bias. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is displaying signs of momentum loss on the downside. The momentum oscillator is gauging support around 40.00 levels.

Gold hourly chart

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1824.98
Today Daily Change 2.20
Today Daily Change % 0.12
Today daily open 1822.78
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1843.36
Daily SMA50 1864.23
Daily SMA100 1891.73
Daily SMA200 1843.72
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1846.15
Previous Daily Low 1822.59
Previous Weekly High 1879.26
Previous Weekly Low 1805.11
Previous Monthly High 1909.83
Previous Monthly Low 1786.94
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1831.59
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1837.15
Daily Pivot Point S1 1814.86
Daily Pivot Point S2 1806.95
Daily Pivot Point S3 1791.3
Daily Pivot Point R1 1838.42
Daily Pivot Point R2 1854.07
Daily Pivot Point R3 1861.98

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD holds below 1.0750 ahead of key US data

EUR/USD holds below 1.0750 ahead of key US data

EUR/USD trades in a tight range below 1.0750 in the European session on Friday. The US Dollar struggles to gather strength ahead of key PCE Price Index data, the Fed's preferred gauge of inflation, and helps the pair hold its ground. 

EUR/USD News

USD/JPY stays firm above 156.00 after BoJ Governor Ueda's comments

USD/JPY stays firm above 156.00 after BoJ Governor Ueda's comments

USD/JPY stays firm above 156.00 after surging above this level on the Bank of Japan's decision to leave the policy settings unchanged. BoJ Governor said weak Yen was not impacting prices but added that they will watch FX developments closely.

USD/JPY News

Gold price oscillates in a range as the focus remains glued to the US PCE Price Index

Gold price oscillates in a range as the focus remains glued to the US PCE Price Index

Gold price struggles to attract any meaningful buyers amid the emergence of fresh USD buying. Bets that the Fed will keep rates higher for longer amid sticky inflation help revive the USD demand.

Gold News

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000 Premium

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000

Bitcoin’s recent price consolidation could be nearing its end as technical indicators and on-chain metrics suggest a potential upward breakout. However, this move would not be straightforward and could punish impatient investors. 

Read more

US core PCE inflation set to signal firm price pressures as markets delay Federal Reserve rate cut bets

US core PCE inflation set to signal firm price pressures as markets delay Federal Reserve rate cut bets

The core PCE Price Index, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is seen as the more influential measure of inflation in terms of Fed positioning. The index is forecast to rise 0.3% on a monthly basis in March, matching February’s increase. 

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures