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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD sees a correction amid stiff hurdles around $1,700, US NFP buzz

  • Gold price is expected to correct to near $1,690.00 as exhaustion meets the $1,700.00 resistance.
  • Poor reading for the US Manufacturing PMI gamut has strengthened the gold bulls.
  • US NFP is likely to drop as corporate has ditched the recruitment process.

Gold price (XAU/USD) is displaying signs of exhaustion while attempting to establish above the psychological hurdle of $1,700.00. The precious metal is expected to witness a correction as hurdles around $1,700.00 are quite strong and demands aggressive buying interest to get demolished. The yellow metal is likely to correct to near $1,690.00 but that doesn’t warrant a bearish reversal.

It is worth noting that the poor US ISM Manufacturing PMI readings for August month have strengthened the gold prices and investors are now shifting their focus toward the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data. According to the projections, the US economy created 250k jobs in September, lower than the August reading of 315k.

The US economy has been maintaining full employment levels, therefore, space for generating more employment is extremely less. Adding to that, the escalating Federal Reserve (Fed)’s interest rates are also restricting the corporate to continue their hiring programs with sheer pace. The US employment generation capacity could deteriorate further as corporate has ditched the recruitment process for a while.

Gold technical analysis

Gold prices have witnessed a juggernaut rally after an upside break of the Rising Channel chart pattern on an hourly scale. An upside break of the above-mentioned chart pattern plotted from Wednesday’s high at $1,662.80 and Thursday’s low at $1,641.59 displays the sheer confidence of bulls. Exhaustion at elevated levels is indicating a correction to near $1,690.00.

A formation of a golden cross, represented by the 50-and 200-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at $1,656.50 is indicating more upside ahead.

Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is oscillating in a bullish range of 60.00-80.00, which advocates the continuation of upside momentum.

Gold hourly chart

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1697.28
Today Daily Change-2.56
Today Daily Change %-0.15
Today daily open1699.84
 
Trends
Daily SMA201678.63
Daily SMA501724.57
Daily SMA1001764.37
Daily SMA2001824.06
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1701.6
Previous Daily Low1659.71
Previous Weekly High1675.49
Previous Weekly Low1614.85
Previous Monthly High1735.17
Previous Monthly Low1614.85
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1685.6
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1675.71
Daily Pivot Point S11672.5
Daily Pivot Point S21645.16
Daily Pivot Point S31630.61
Daily Pivot Point R11714.39
Daily Pivot Point R21728.94
Daily Pivot Point R31756.28

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
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