Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD rallies through critical resistance after dovish tilt at FOMC
- Gold rallies hard on a dovish pivot at the FOMC.
- Markets now await clarity from Chair Powell's presser.
The gold price has shot higher on a hint of dovishness in today's interest rate decision by the Federal Open Market committee. The vote was unanimous in favour of the policy whereby the Fed hiked by 75bps, setting the target range at 3.75% - 4.00%.
Gold is up around 1% following the release of the statement trading at $1,663, rising from the day's low of $1,645.68, printing a post-Fed high of $1,665.53 so far.
Gold price is higher on the back of the swaps markets that are now downgrading the chances of another 75bps at its December meeting due to such changes in the statement as follows:
"In determining the pace of future increases in the target range, the Committee will take into account the cumulative tightening of monetary policy, the lags with which monetary policy affects economic activity and inflation, and economic and financial deviations."
Changes to FOMC statement
Before the FOMC statement, the terminal top was priced at 5.03% in May, it's down to 4.95% now after the new sentence in the FOMC statement that signals more increases but hints at possibly smaller increments.
The US dollar is testing critical trendline support as shown on the hourly and daily charts below:
Markets now await Chair Jerome Powell's presser for clarity on the dovish tilt.
Watch live Chiar Powell
Gold technical analysis
The weekly charts shows the price at the bottom of the sideways range.
The daily charts show the prospects of a move into channel resistance:
(Before Fed, above)
The price is digging into the M-formation's resistance that guards the channel resistance.
(After Fed, below):
The hourly chart shows the price reaching into
Author
Ross J Burland
FXStreet
Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.
