|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD holds positive ground near $1,980, eyes on FOMC Meeting Minutes

  • Gold price gains ground around $1,980 on the weaker USD.
  • The US October leading indicator dropped 0.8% MoM vs. 0.7% MoM fall prior.
  • FOMC Meeting Minutes will be a closely watched event on Tuesday.

Gold price (XAU/USD) snaps the two-day losing streak during the early Asian trading hours on Tuesday. The lower US Treasury yields weigh on the Greenback and lift the USD-denominated gold. On a quiet day in terms of US economic data, traders await the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Minutes on Tuesday, which might offer hints regarding future policy rate direction and inflation improvement. Gold price currently trades around $1,980, gaining 0.11% on the day.

Meanwhile, the US dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the USD measured against a basket of six world currencies, declines to 103.44, the lowest level since late August. The US Treasury bond yields consolidate their losses, with the 10-year yields standing around 4.42%.

The US October leading indicator dropped 0.8% MoM from September’s reading of 0.7% MoM fall, the Conference Board revealed Monday. The attention will turn to the FOMC Meeting Minutes on Tuesday. Investors believe that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) is done with its cycle of interest rate hikes, and anticipate that the central bank may begin to cut the rates around the middle of 2024. This, in turn, drags the Greenback lower and boosts the USD-denominated gold. According to CME's FedWatch Tool, markets have priced in a 50% chance of a cut of at least 25 basis points by May 2024.

Gold traders will focus on the FOMC Meeting minutes on Tuesday for fresh impetus. Also, the US Existing Home Sales and the Chicago Fed National Activity Index will be due on Tuesday. These events could give a clear direction to the gold price.

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1980.96
Today Daily Change0.09
Today Daily Change %0.00
Today daily open1980.87
 
Trends
Daily SMA201973.8
Daily SMA501927.39
Daily SMA1001929.8
Daily SMA2001937.15
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1993.47
Previous Daily Low1978.65
Previous Weekly High1993.47
Previous Weekly Low1931.67
Previous Monthly High2009.49
Previous Monthly Low1810.51
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1984.31
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1987.81
Daily Pivot Point S11975.19
Daily Pivot Point S21969.51
Daily Pivot Point S31960.37
Daily Pivot Point R11990.01
Daily Pivot Point R21999.15
Daily Pivot Point R32004.83

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD: Next upside target comes at 0.7000

AUD/USD has advanced further, clinching its third consecutive day of gains and trading at shouting distance from the key 0.7000 threshold on Tuesday. The widespread improved sentiment in the risk complex helped the Aussie maintain its upside momentum, while the fresh selling impulse in the Greenback also contributed to the move.

USD/JPY rises back above 158.00 despite hawkish BoJ outlook

USD/JPY rises back above 158.00 in the early European morning on Tuesday. The pair strengthens as the Japanese Yen fails to find any inspiration from hawkish BoJ expectations and looming intervention risks. Meanwhile, geopolitical uncertainty and elevated US bond yields keep the US Dollar near its YTD high despite receding October Fed hike bets. This, in turn, helps the pair stay supported.

Gold stays firm; looks at $4,200

Gold builds on Monday’s marginal bounce, although it struggles to reclaim the key $4,200 mark per troy ounce so far on Tuesday. The yellow metal’s advance comes on the back of the fresh downside momentum in the US Dollar in tandem with retreating US Treasury yields across the curve.

Ethena Price Forecast: ENA corrects as Ether.Fi launches stablecoin on the protocol
Ethena (ENA) trades near $0.24000 on Tuesday amid growing technical weakness. The Ethereum Layer-2 token has shed some of its recent gains, which peaked at $0.2946 on September 27, reinforcing profit-taking and buyer exhaustion. An extended sell-off would bring ENA to test the psychological support at $0.2000 and key technical levels further down.
Japanese Yen nears 158.00: Two analysts agree it's bullish, and disagree on how far the breakout goes

The JPY is drifting near 158.00 against the USD ahead of a busy week of Japanese data and a still-unclear BoJ timetable. The two most recent FXStreet analyses agree on the direction, but they disagree on the target and the mechanism.

Eurozone inflation just hit 3.8%, its highest in three years. This chart shows why the ECB can’t simply hike its way out

The ECB would normally have a relatively straightforward answer to inflation running almost twice its target: raise interest rates. But these are not normal circumstances. This time, the bond market is already doing part of the tightening for it, leaving the ECB facing an increasingly difficult dilemma.