- Gold price has climbed strongly to $1,950.00 as US inflation has softened more than expectations.
- The US Dollar Index has plunged as the Fed would have the luxury of skipping interest rates further.
- Gold price is expected to deliver an Inverted H&S breakout after surpassing the neckline plotted around $1,940.00.
Gold price (XAU/USD) has displayed a stellar run as the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics has reported softer-than-expected June Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. The monthly headline and core inflation has reported a pace of 0.2% while investors were anticipating a higher velocity of 0.3%.
Annualized headline CPI has softened to 3.0% vs. the consensus of 3.1% and the former release of 4.0%. While annualized inflation has decelerated to 4.8% against the estimates of 5.0% and the prior release of 5.3%. More-than-anticipated cool-down in inflationary pressures would trim expectations of an interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in its July monetary policy meeting.
Meanwhile, S&P500 futures have jumped strongly as soft inflation figures have eased fears of a recession in the United States. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has demonstrated a vertical fall to near the crucial support of 101.00. The yields offered on 10-year US Treasury bonds have sharply dropped to 3.88%.
Going forward, investors will focus on Thursday’s Producer Price Index (PPI) data. As per the consensus, monthly PPI is expected to register a pace of 0.2% vs. a contraction of 0.3%. It looks like a mild recovery in gasoline prices has propelled factory gate prices.
Gold technical analysis
Gold price is gathering strength to deliver a breakout of the Inverted Head and Shoulder chart pattern formed on a two-hour scale. A breakout of the aforementioned chart pattern will result in a bullish reversal. The neckline of the chart pattern is plotted around June 21 high at $1,940.00.
The 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1,932.90 is providing cushion to the Gold bulls.
Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has confidently shifted into the bullish range of 60.00-80.00, which indicates that the bullish momentum has been triggered.
Gold two-hour chart
|Today last price||1934.05|
|Today Daily Change||1.79|
|Today Daily Change %||0.09|
|Today daily open||1932.26|
|Previous Daily High||1938.54|
|Previous Daily Low||1924.44|
|Previous Weekly High||1935.09|
|Previous Weekly Low||1902.77|
|Previous Monthly High||1983.5|
|Previous Monthly Low||1893.01|
|Daily Fibonacci 38.2%||1933.15|
|Daily Fibonacci 61.8%||1929.83|
|Daily Pivot Point S1||1924.95|
|Daily Pivot Point S2||1917.65|
|Daily Pivot Point S3||1910.85|
|Daily Pivot Point R1||1939.05|
|Daily Pivot Point R2||1945.85|
|Daily Pivot Point R3||1953.15|
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