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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD declines towards $1,650 as hawkish Fed bets soar

  • Gold prices are facing selling pressure on expectations of a bigger-than-expected Fed rate hike.
  • The precious metal is expected to re-test the two-year low at $1,654.50.
  • A downside break of the Ascending Triangle indicates more weakness ahead.

Gold price (XAU/USD) has turned sideways in a narrow range of $1,660.00-1,667.00 after declining from the critical hurdle of $1,680.00 on Tuesday. The precious metal is expected to display more weakness ahead of the interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve (Fed) and will likely kiss the two-year low at around $1,654.50.

The yellow metal is facing severe heat from the market participants as the Fed is expected to scale up the current pace of hiking interest rates. Fed’s foremost priority is to bring price stability into the economy and a recent reading of the inflationary pressures doesn’t display a meaningful response from the latter. The Fed could not let high inflation settle into the economic behavior as it may destroy the confidence of consumers in the economy.

Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) has established above the psychological hurdle of 110.00 and is expected to remain in positive territory. More upside seems imminent as the Fed is highly expected to tighten the policy with a much bigger rate. Also, the guidance will be extremely hawkish ahead.

Gold technical analysis

Gold prices have delivered a downside break of the Ascending Triangle whose upward-sloping trendline is placed from the previous week’s low at $1,654.17 while the horizontal resistance is plotted from Friday’s high at $1,680.39.

The 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1,667.30 is acting as major resistance for the bulls. Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has shifted into the bearish range of 20.00-40.00, which indicates more weakness ahead.

Gold hourly chart

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1664.68
Today Daily Change-11.20
Today Daily Change %-0.67
Today daily open1675.88
 
Trends
Daily SMA201713.76
Daily SMA501736.09
Daily SMA1001783.63
Daily SMA2001830.79
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1680.02
Previous Daily Low1659.71
Previous Weekly High1735.17
Previous Weekly Low1654.17
Previous Monthly High1807.93
Previous Monthly Low1709.68
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1672.26
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1667.47
Daily Pivot Point S11663.72
Daily Pivot Point S21651.56
Daily Pivot Point S31643.41
Daily Pivot Point R11684.03
Daily Pivot Point R21692.18
Daily Pivot Point R31704.34

 

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

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