|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD consolidates near $1,990 amid improved risk appetite

  • Gold price gained support as cooling US data signals the Fed to conclude its policy tightening.
  • US Dollar faces pressure after the subdued Nonfarm Payrolls data released on Friday.
  • Improved risk appetite could limit the advance of the precious metal demand.

Gold price hovers around $1,990 per troy ounce during the Asian session on Monday, struggling to continue the winning streak. However, the bullion prices improved on expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) may conclude its monetary policy tightening after the subdued employment data from the United States (US).

However, Gold prices could experience downward pressure amidst a heightened risk appetite as investors may cast out the precious metal in favor of more risk-driven assets, driven by the belief that the US Fed may not attempt an interest rate hike in the upcoming December meeting.

US Dollar Index (DXY) took a notable plunge of more than 1.0% on Friday, influenced by lackluster US Treasury yields following disappointing US labor data. As of now, the 10-year US bond yield is at 4.58%, providing a degree of relief for the prices of the yellow metal.

US Bureau of Labor Statistics unveiled the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data for October on Friday, showing a count of 150K. This missed the expected 180K and represented a notable drop from September's 297K. The month-on-month change in Average Hourly Earnings dipped to 0.2%, deviating from the expected steady 0.3%.

Moreover, the US Unemployment Rate climbed to 3.9%, contrary to the market's expectation of holding steady at 3.8% in October. The ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) dropped to 51.8 from the previous 53.6. On Thursday, the US Department of Labor released the tally of initial claims for unemployment benefits for the week ending October 27, revealing an increase from 212,000 to 217,000.

Gold saw an uptick in demand as a safe haven amid the Israel-Hamas conflict. However, traders could adjust their stance, anticipating a reduced risk premium as concerns ease about the conflict expanding across the broader Middle East. The evolving situation and efforts by multiple nations to broker a ceasefire will be closely monitored for further market insights.

XAU/USD: technical levels to watch

Overview
Today last price1990.76
Today Daily Change-1.57
Today Daily Change %-0.08
Today daily open1992.33
 
Trends
Daily SMA201949.93
Daily SMA501920.95
Daily SMA1001925.84
Daily SMA2001933.96
 
Levels
Previous Daily High2004.13
Previous Daily Low1983.29
Previous Weekly High2007.98
Previous Weekly Low1969.9
Previous Monthly High2009.49
Previous Monthly Low1810.51
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1996.17
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1991.25
Daily Pivot Point S11982.37
Daily Pivot Point S21972.41
Daily Pivot Point S31961.53
Daily Pivot Point R12003.21
Daily Pivot Point R22014.09
Daily Pivot Point R32024.05

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD bulls seem hesitant as Hormuz ship attack supports safe-haven USD

The GBP/USD pair sticks to a positive bias for the second straight day, albeit it remains below the previous day's swing high and trades just below the 1.3200 mark during the Asian session on Friday. Furthermore, the fundamental backdrop warrants caution before positioning for any meaningful recovery from November 2025 lows, around the 1.3140 region, touched on Wednesday.

EUR/USD holds above mid-1.1300s amid Hormuz risks, bearish setup

The EUR/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the previous day's modest recovery gains and oscillates in a narrow band during the Asian session. Spot prices, however, hold above mid-1.1300s and the lowest level since May 2025, set on Thursday, warranting some caution for bearish traders.

Gold recovers early lost ground; bearish bias remains amid Fed hike bets

Gold builds on its modest intraday bounce from the $3,983-$3982 region, and climbs to the top end of its daily range heading into the European session. The US Dollar remains depressed below its highest level since May 2025 set on Thursday, amid receding Federal Reserve rate-hike bets. This is seen as a key factor lending some support to the commodity.

Ripple price clings to $1 as long liquidations deepen bearish trend

Ripple (XRP) trades near the key psychological support level of $1 after losing more than 8% so far this week. CoinGlass liquidation data shows that over 97% XRP long positions were wiped out over the past 24 hours. In addition, derivatives metrics continue to favor the bears.

Asian stock markets plummet as Apple price hike raises inflation concerns, KOSPI dives over 8%
Asian equity markets on Friday are significantly down as price hikes announced by Apple Inc. due to memory chip shortages have prompted fears of high inflation globally and concerns on earning projections of various companies that rely on these sophisticated chips for their final products.
Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.