|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD climbs $1,770 as risk-on rebounds, US NFP buzz

  • Gold price has recaptured the crucial hurdle of $1,770.00 as risk-off fades dramatically.
  • Taiwan’s defense ministry is prepared to counter any military action from China.
  • A lower consensus for US NFP will keep the DXY on the tenterhooks.

Gold price (XAU/USD) has displayed a responsive buying action after printing a low of $1,755.00 in the Asian session. The precious metal entered a corrective wave after a juggernaut rally for the past two weeks. Apart from that, a rebound in the positive market sentiment has bolstered the gold bulls.

Risk sentiment was turned sour earlier on escalating Sino-US tensions over Taiwan. The situation has yet not been fixed as Russian naval ships have joined Chinese ships near the Taiwanese disputed island. In retaliation to that, Taiwan’s Defence Ministry has cited that they will counter any move from China that will violate Taiwan's territorial sovereignty.

The US dollar index (DXY) was enjoying liquidity from the market participants on Tuesday after investors underpinned the risk-off impulse. Now, the downbeat consensus for the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) is dragging the DXY lower. The DXY has printed a low of 106.00 as job additions are seen at 250k, lower than the prior release of 372k. While the jobless rate is seen unchanged at 3.6%. Major US corporate players have ditched the recruitment process for the remaining whose consequences will be observed in the employment data.

Gold technical analysis

The gold price has reclaimed the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1,764.23 swiftly. On a four-hour scale, the precious metal is auctioning in a Rising Channel whose upper portion of the above-mentioned chart pattern is placed from July 22 high at $1,739.37 while the lower portion is plotted from July 21 low at $1,681.87.

The 50-period EMA at $1,750.00 has remained untouched and is advancing, which adds to the upside filters. Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is attempting to recapture the bullish range of 60.00-80.00 to accelerate the upside move.

Gold four-hour chart

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1769.34
Today Daily Change9.02
Today Daily Change %0.51
Today daily open1760.32
 
Trends
Daily SMA201731.28
Daily SMA501793.49
Daily SMA1001849.4
Daily SMA2001842.17
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1788.04
Previous Daily Low1760.07
Previous Weekly High1768.04
Previous Weekly Low1711.55
Previous Monthly High1814.37
Previous Monthly Low1680.91
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1770.75
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1777.36
Daily Pivot Point S11750.91
Daily Pivot Point S21741.51
Daily Pivot Point S31722.94
Daily Pivot Point R11778.88
Daily Pivot Point R21797.45
Daily Pivot Point R31806.85

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles to build on recent rebound, holds above 1.1550

EUR/USD trades marginally lower on the day but holds above 1.1550 in the American session, following Thursday's rebound. The pair holds near its intraday high as the US Dollar remains pressured by hopes the Middle East conflict will soon come to an end.

GBP/USD hovers around 1.3400 as investors await war clarity

GBP/USD remains near its daily open, not far from 1.3400, in the second half of Friday's session. The US Dollar lost its previous intraday strength and weakens as investors await clarity on the US-Iran war.

Gold stabilizes above $4,200 as wait-and-see continues

After rising more than 3% on Thursday, Gold (XAU/USD) stabilized around the $4,200 mark in the American session on Friday. The US dollar seesaws between gains and losses, but remains within familiar levels as investors remain skeptical yet hopeful about a resolution to the Middle East conflict.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP recovery slows amid incessant capital outflows

The cryptocurrency remains in a broader corrective bias on Friday, despite majors such as Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) holding slightly higher than early-week support levels.

SpaceX launches 24% higher at Friday debut
Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX), aka SpaceX, zoomed 24% higher soon after the start of its first IPO trading day on Friday. Shares of the rocket and artificial intelligence (AI) company founded by Elon Musk began trading at about 11:46 am EST and quickly gained speed.
4.2% headline, 0.2% core: Why the Fed's next hike may be targeting the wrong problem

May's CPI put headline inflation at 4.2% on the year, up from 3.8% in April and the hottest reading since April 2023, while core prices rose just 0.2% on the month, undershooting the 0.3% consensus and halving April's pace.