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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD back under pressure near $1800

  • On a volatile session, gold reaffirms bearish bias.
  • Gold falls sharply even as US yields move lower.
  • XAU/USD testing $1805, below attention would turn to the YTD low at $1785.
  • Gold is back below 1810$, under pressure and looking vulnerable to the downside. The price hit earlier a one-month low at $1802 and then spiked to $1825. The recovery was short-lived as gold resume the decline falling below 1810$.

XAU/USD is testing the $1805 area, and a consolidation below would expose $1800. Below that area, a test of the year-to-date low at $1786 seems likely.

On the upside, if gold manages to remain above $1820 it could alleviate the bearish pressure. A key level is seen currently at $1831, a short-term downtrend line that if broken, should open the doors to the weekly high at $1841 and to $1848 (June 22 high).

Volatile session between lower yields and risk aversion

The demand for Treasuries rose amid risk aversion. The US 10-year yield dropped to 3.00% and the 30-year fell to 3.12%, the lowest level in weeks. The decline in yields supports gold but at the same time, risk aversion is pushing commodity prices to the downside and the dollar higher.

In Wall Street, the Dow Jones is falling 0.87% and the Nasdaq 1.15%, both indexes off lows. Crude oil tumbles 2.70%.

Technical levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1806.15
Today Daily Change-11.48
Today Daily Change %-0.63
Today daily open1817.63
 
Trends
Daily SMA201838.05
Daily SMA501852.77
Daily SMA1001891.98
Daily SMA2001844.92
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1833.11
Previous Daily Low1812.09
Previous Weekly High1847.95
Previous Weekly Low1816.99
Previous Monthly High1909.83
Previous Monthly Low1786.94
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1820.12
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1825.08
Daily Pivot Point S11808.78
Daily Pivot Point S21799.92
Daily Pivot Point S31787.76
Daily Pivot Point R11829.8
Daily Pivot Point R21841.96
Daily Pivot Point R31850.82

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

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