|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD back under $1800 as markets extend sell-off

  • XAU/USD retreats more than $10 from daily highs.
  • Wall Street indices down more than 2%.
  • US yields at lowest in two weeks, 10-year at 1.50%.

Gold prices are up for the day but off highs. XAU/USD jumped to $1815 during the European session but then turned to the downside, pulling back under 1800$. The risk aversion environment kept gains limited and favoured the retreat.

US Treasuries are sharply higher on the back of risk aversion. The US 10-year is at the lowest since November 10 at 1.49%, after being near 1.70% two days ago; the 30-year is down 6% at 1.84%.

Concerns about the new COVID-19 variant weighed on market sentiment and is looking to affect monetary policy expectations. The restrictions announcements across Europe pushed equity and crude oil prices sharply to the downside.

Initially, XAU/USD reacted to the upside, boosted by lower US yields. The rally was limited, and as of writing, it is retreating, affected by the global sell-off and a mixed US dollar. A firm recovery above $1810 could remove the negative tone in the short term; while a daily close under $1780 would suggest more losses ahead.

Technical levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1800.44
Today Daily Change11.61
Today Daily Change %0.65
Today daily open1788.83
 
Trends
Daily SMA201822.15
Daily SMA501789.81
Daily SMA1001793.53
Daily SMA2001791.84
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1795.14
Previous Daily Low1786.06
Previous Weekly High1877.23
Previous Weekly Low1843.04
Previous Monthly High1813.82
Previous Monthly Low1746.07
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1791.67
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1789.53
Daily Pivot Point S11784.88
Daily Pivot Point S21780.93
Daily Pivot Point S31775.8
Daily Pivot Point R11793.96
Daily Pivot Point R21799.09
Daily Pivot Point R31803.04

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD flatlines near 0.6965 as less hawkish RBA counters USD weakness

AUD/USD holds steady above a two-week low, trading near 0.6965 in the Asian session on Wednesday as early midterm election results heighten political uncertainty and weigh heavily on the US Dollar. Moreover, reviving safe-haven demand triggers a fresh leg down in US bond yields, offsetting Fed hike bets and exerting additional pressure on the buck. However, a less hawkish RBA caps the Aussie.

USD/JPY declines below 158.00 as USD weakens on midterm election results

USD/JPY comes under heavy selling pressure on Wednesday, dropping below 158.00 during the Asian session as the US Dollar slumps to a one-month low amid heightened political uncertainty after early US midterm vote counts. Moreover, the prospect of gridlock in Washington drives safe-haven flows, triggering a fresh leg down in US bond yields and further weighing on the buck.

Gold ticks lower while early trend points to Democrats victory in House

Gold trades with caution at around $3,930 in the Asian trading session on Wednesday. The precious metal struggles to gain direction as investors shift their focus to United States Midterm elections where early trend shows that Democrats would have a clear majority in House of Representatives.

Bitcoin tests critical support, Ethereum struggles below resistance, XRP extends losses
Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) remain under pressure on Wednesday as bearish momentum continues to weigh on prices. BTC approaches key support around $76,466, and a decisive close below could open the door to deeper losses. Meanwhile, ETH struggles below key resistance while XRP faces rejection at the upper trendline of a falling channel pattern, all hinting at deeper losses.
US Dollar Index dives to late September lows near 101.25 on US election results

The US Dollar Index, which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, comes under intense selling pressure during the Asian session on Wednesday, dropping to its lowest level since late September as early US midterm election results heightened political uncertainty.

The 2% inflation target came from a throwaway remark. It now moves trillions
The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation goal grew out of an off-the-cuff remark by a New Zealand politician in 1988. Bond investors still price long-term US debt as if 2% holds, so a change in how the Fed measures inflation would move markets.