Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD primed for a falling channel breakout on 4H chart

Gold looks north amid a favorable technical set up on 4H chart.
A test of July high at $1985 is inevitable, with eyes on $2000.
Weekly closing above 100-SMA on 4H chart boosts the bullish odds.

Dhwani Mehta FXStreet

Friday’s surge led Gold (XAU/USD) on the verge of a falling channel breakout on the four-hour (4H) chart, as the price recaptured all the major Simple Moving Averages.

Therefore, the bullish momentum is likely to extend at the weekly opening in Asia on Monday, which could prompt the price take out the falling trendline resistance at $1969.

The weekly closing above the 100-Simple Moving Average at $1961.11 also adds credence to the upside bias while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains bullish, at 60.07.

The pattern will get confirmed once the abovementioned barrier at $1969 is taken out convincingly, with the buyers aiming for a test of the July high at $1985.

Next up, the critical $2000 barrier will be challenged en route the August 18 high of $2015.65. The record high at $2075 will be back in sight for the XAU bulls.

Alternatively, the bright metal could target the horizontal 50-SMA at $1944 if investors resort to profit-taking.

The next critical support is aligned at $1940, where the 20 and 200-SMAs coincide. A daily closing below the latter could revive the downside momentum.

Gold: Hourly chart

Gold Additional levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price	1963.46
Today Daily Change	0.00
Today Daily Change %	0.00
Today daily open	1963.46

Trends
Daily SMA20	1969.78
Daily SMA50	1884.74
Daily SMA100	1800.8
Daily SMA200	1678.58

Levels
Previous Daily High	1973.96
Previous Daily Low	1923.25
Previous Weekly High	1976.79
Previous Weekly Low	1902.76
Previous Monthly High	1984.8
Previous Monthly Low	1757.7
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1954.59
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1942.62
Daily Pivot Point S1	1933.15
Daily Pivot Point S2	1902.85
Daily Pivot Point S3	1882.44
Daily Pivot Point R1	1983.86
Daily Pivot Point R2	2004.27
Daily Pivot Point R3	2034.57

Author

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

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