|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD needs to overcome $1,956 to unleash the upside – Confluence Detector

Gold has kicked off the new week by a minor rise from the lows, yet it shows some hesitance. The main downward driver for XAU/USD in the previous week was the Federal Reserve's relative hawkishness. The world's most powerful central bank seemed reluctant to introduce more stimulus. Less money printing means diminished support for the precious metal.

However, Jerome Powell, Chairman of the Federal Reserve, is set to speak on Thursday and is set to lay out an updated view on the economy. Moreover, he may change his mind and clarify that the bank is ready to do more – including capping bond yields. Lower returns on US debt mean the yellow metal is more attractive. 

How is XAU/USD positioned on the charts?

The Technical Confluences Indicator is showing that gold is facing critical resistance at $1,956, which is the convergence of the Simple Moving Average 10-one-day and the previous daily high. 

Further up, a soft cap awaits at $1,961, which is the meeting point of the SMA 5-one-day and the Pivot Point one-day Resistance 1. 

Support awaits at $1,939, which is a dense cluster including the SMA 5-4h, the BB 1h-Middle, the SMA 50-15m, the SMA 10-4h, and the Fibonacci 61.8% one-day. 

Further down, the next cushion is at $1,932, which is the confluence of the Fibonacci 23.6% one-month and the previous 4h-low. 

Key XAU/USD resistances and supports

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences. The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Author

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

More from Yohay Elam
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds around 1.1750 after weak German and EU PMI data

EUR/USD maintains its range trade at around 1.1750 in European trading on Tuesday. Weaker-than-expected December PMI data from Germany and the Eurozone make it difficult for the Euro to find demand, while investors refrain from taking large USD positions ahead of key employment data.

GBP/USD climbs above 1.3400 after upbeat UK PMI data

GBP/USD gains traction and trades in positive territory above 1.3400 on Tuesday as the British Pound benefits from upbeat PMI data. Later in the day, crucial data releases from the US, including Nonfarm Payrolls, Retail Sales and PMI, could trigger the next big action in the pair.

Gold retreats from seven week highs on profit-taking; all eyes on US NFP release

Gold price loses momentum below $4,300 during the early European trading hours on Tuesday, pressured by some profit-taking and weak long liquidation from the shorter-term futures traders. Furthermore, optimism around Ukraine peace talks could weigh on the safe-haven asset like Gold.

US Nonfarm Payrolls expected to point to cooling labor market in November

The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the delayed Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for October and November on Tuesday at 13:30 GMT. Economists expect Nonfarm Payrolls to rise by 40,000 in November. The Unemployment Rate is likely to remain unchanged at 4.4% during the same period.

NFP preview: Complex data release will determine if Fed was right to cut rates

The long wait is over, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the US will release nonfarm payrolls reports for both November and October at 1330 GMT on Tuesday. The overall NFP figure for October is expected to be -10k, however, it is expected to be influenced by a massive 130k drop in federal department workers. 

BNB Price Forecast: BNB slips below $855 as bearish on-chain signals and momentum indicators turn negative

BNB, formerly known as Binance Coin, continues to trade down around $855 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight decline the previous day. Bearish sentiment further strengthens as BNB’s on-chain and derivatives data show rising retail activity.