|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD hangs near 2-month lows, bears await a break below 100-DMA

  • Resurgent USD demand exerted some fresh pressure on the dollar-denominated commodity.
  • The set-up favours bearish traders and supports prospects for further near-term weakness.
  • Any attempted recovery might continue to confront stiff resistance near the $1875-78 area.

Gold failed to capitalize on the previous day's modest rebound from the vicinity of 100-day SMA support, instead met with some fresh supply on Friday. The emergence of some fresh USD buying weighed on the dollar-denominated commodity and dragged it back closer to two-month tops touched in the previous session.

Given this week's breakdown through the $1900 horizontal support, the precious metal's inability to register any meaningful recovery suggests that the recent bearish pressure might still be far from being over. The negative outlook is further reinforced by bearish technical indicators on the daily chart.

Adding to this, the fact that XAU/USD has now found acceptance below the 50% Fibonacci level of the $1671-$2075 positive move supports prospects for further weakness. That said, traders might still wait for some follow-through selling below 100-DMA support, around the $1845 region, before positioning for a fall towards 61.8% Fibo. level, around the $1822 area.

On the flip side, the $1875-77 region now seems to have emerged as immediate strong resistance. A sustained strength beyond might trigger some short-covering move and pushed the XAU/USD back closer to the $1900 strong support breakpoint.

Gold daily chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1861.36
Today Daily Change-6.34
Today Daily Change %-0.34
Today daily open1867.7
 
Trends
Daily SMA201935.48
Daily SMA501941.54
Daily SMA1001843.82
Daily SMA2001722.91
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1877.12
Previous Daily Low1848.84
Previous Weekly High1973.64
Previous Weekly Low1932.88
Previous Monthly High2075.32
Previous Monthly Low1863.24
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1866.32
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1859.64
Daily Pivot Point S11851.99
Daily Pivot Point S21836.27
Daily Pivot Point S31823.71
Daily Pivot Point R11880.27
Daily Pivot Point R21892.83
Daily Pivot Point R31908.55

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD loses traction after earlier rebound, tests 1.1600

EUR/USD fails to preserve its recovery momentum after rising toward 1.1650 earlier in the day and tests 1.1600. The risk-averse market atmosphere amid the widening conflict in the Middle East and the broad-based US Dollar strength make it difficult for the pair to hold its ground.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3350 amid UK stagflation risks

GBP/USD stays in negative territory near 1.3350 in the second half of the day Thursday. The Pound Sterling loses ground amid fears that the United Kingdom economy could face stagflation risks due to higher energy prices, while the US Dollar attracts fresh safe-haven demand, weighing on the pair.

Gold struggles to benefit from risj-aversion, drops toward $5,100

Gold turns south in the American session on Thursday and declines toward $5,100. The persistent US Dollar (USD) strength doesn't allow XAU/USD to gather recovery momentum despite markets remain risks-averse due to the deepening conflict in the Middle East.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP hold weekly gains despite US-Iran war

The cryptocurrency market is gaining strength on Thursday, building on Wednesday's upswing, which saw Bitcoin reach a weekly high above $74,000. Ethereum and Ripple are moderating their recent gains amid uncertainty stemming from the escalating war in the Middle East.

Markets attempt to rally on positive news from Iran

There’s been an abrupt change in sentiment this morning, European stock markets are higher and oil and gas prices are moderating, after comments from Iran’s deputy minister about pre-conflict talks between Iran and the US.

Cardano Price Analysis: Approaches key trendline amid bearish sentiment

Cardano (ADA) price is approaching its descending trendline around $0.28 at the time of writing, set to shape the next directional move. The derivatives metrics paint a bearish picture, with ADA’s Open Interest continuing to fall and short bets rising among traders.