|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD fails to break $1850 and turns to the downside

  • XAU/USD losses momentum near $1850 and falls hitting fresh daily lows.
  • The metal is about to end a three-day positive streak, after rising more than $80 from the weekly bottom.

Gold peaked after the beginning of the American session at $1848/oz reaching the highest level since November 23 and then turned to the downside. It bottomed at $1829 and is it about to end the week hovering around $1830.

It was a volatile week for gold. From the Monday low at $1763 rose more than $80. As of writing, it is up 4% for the week. The sharp rebound mitigated the bearish pressure.

The recovery in gold was capped by the strong $1845/50 area that is a critical resistance. A break higher should lead to further gains. So far, every approximation was followed by a limited correction lower. The positive momentum will likely continue to hold while price remains above $1800. A slide below would expose the next support at $1775 and the recent low of $1764.

Gold is about to end the week higher, after losing almost $200 over the previous three weeks. The move to the upside started with a technical correction and amid profit-taking. More recently, it was the dollar’s weakness that supported the move higher.

Technical levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1832.9
Today Daily Change-9.36
Today Daily Change %-0.51
Today daily open1842.26
 
Trends
Daily SMA201850.33
Daily SMA501879.89
Daily SMA1001910.72
Daily SMA2001802.66
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1844.02
Previous Daily Low1823.77
Previous Weekly High1876.14
Previous Weekly Low1774.4
Previous Monthly High1965.58
Previous Monthly Low1764.6
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1836.28
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1831.51
Daily Pivot Point S11829.35
Daily Pivot Point S21816.43
Daily Pivot Point S31809.1
Daily Pivot Point R11849.6
Daily Pivot Point R21856.93
Daily Pivot Point R31869.85

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD edges above 1.1750 due to ECB-Fed policy divergence

EUR/USD has recovered its recent losses registered in the previous session, trading around 1.1760 during the Asian hours on Friday. Traders will likely observe Germany’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index data later in the day.

GBP/USD gathers strength above 1.3450 on Fed rate cut bets, BoE's gradual policy path

The GBP/USD pair gathers strength to around 1.3480 during the early Asian session on Friday. Expectations of the US Federal Reserve rate cuts this year weigh on the US Dollar against the Pound Sterling. Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson is set to speak later on the weekend. 

Gold climbs to near $4,350 on Fed rate cut bets, geopolitical risks

Gold price rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. Gold finished 2025 with a significant rally, achieving an annual gain of around 65%, its biggest annual gain since 1979. The rally of the precious metal is bolstered by the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026 and safe-haven flows.

Bitcoin trades in compression as 2026 begins with structure still unresolved

BTC/USD remains locked in a two-way structure, with micro supply-and-demand levels guiding early-year price behaviour.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).