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Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD bulls take a breather after biggest daily gain since Jan. 4

  • Gold trades near $1,870 in Asia, having jumped 1.7% on Wednesday. 
  • Expectations for bigger US fiscal stimulus push inflation expectations higher.

Gold is consolidating on Wednesday's gains, with investors expecting that the new US President Joe Biden would boost stimulus to counter the coronavirus-induced economic slowdown. 

The yellow metal is trading in a sideways manner below $1,870 per ounce at press time, having rallied by 1.7% on Wednesday. That was the biggest single-day percentage gain since Jan.4.

Having unveiled a $1.9 trillion stimulus plan last week, Biden's circle of advisors is now focused on delivering a follow-up package focused on two interrelated issues: climate and infrastructure.

Inflation expectations have already risen to multi-year highs above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, strengthening the case for investing in gold and could rise further with investors expecting bigger stimulus. 

From a technical analysis perspective, Wednesday's gain has confirmed a reversal higher signaled by the long tail attached to the Jan. 18 candle. As such, the metal could test the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), currently at $1,884. 

Further gains, however, could remain elusive if the US Treasury yields track inflation expectations higher, putting a bid under the US dollar, gold's biggest nemesis. The 10-year Treasury yield is currently sidelined near 1.07%. 

Technical levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1868.78
Today Daily Change-1.11
Today Daily Change %-0.06
Today daily open1869.89
 
Trends
Daily SMA201877.37
Daily SMA501860.13
Daily SMA1001884.15
Daily SMA2001846.09
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1871.02
Previous Daily Low1832.48
Previous Weekly High1863.83
Previous Weekly Low1816.96
Previous Monthly High1906.87
Previous Monthly Low1775.52
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1856.3
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1847.2
Daily Pivot Point S11844.57
Daily Pivot Point S21819.26
Daily Pivot Point S31806.03
Daily Pivot Point R11883.11
Daily Pivot Point R21896.34
Daily Pivot Point R31921.65


 

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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