|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD bulls en-route $1,890 as US House passes stimulus – Confluence Detector

Gold prices benefit from the broad risk-on mood while rising to $1,880, up 0.40% intraday, during early Tuesday. In doing so, the yellow metal also cheers the US dollar weakness following the House passage of President Donald Trump’s $2,000 paycheck amount.

Read: S&P 500 Futures refresh record top above 3,700 on US covid aid package updates

It should, however, be noted that the bill now heads to the Senate where Republicans are likely to block the deal by citing the budget deficit. Also expected to challenge the present market optimism is the House rejection of President Trump’s veto over the defense bill.

Also likely to challenge the bulls is the lack of major data/events amid the year-end celebrations.

As a result, the current market optimism faces the uphill task ahead of the North American session.

Gold: Key levels to watch

A convergence of 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and upper band the Bollinger on the daily (1D) chart guards the commodity’s immediate upside around $1,882. However, bullish momentum and trading sentiment, coupled with the US dollar weakness, can help the gold buyers to tack the nearby hurdle.

Following that, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of one month (1M) and Bollinger upper band on the hour (1H) play, around $1,890, becomes the key before the $1,900 threshold.

On the downside, 200-HMA and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of one week near $1,875 becomes adjacent support to watch during the quote’s fresh pullback.

Though, gold bears are less likely to turn serious unless witnessing a break of 50-day SMA and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of weekly performance near $1,868.

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About Confluence Detector

The TCI (Technical Confluences Indicator) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).