|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD braces for a bumpy road to recovery above $1775 – Confluence Detector

Gold (XAU/USD) is making another recovery attempt from five-month lows of $1765 as the US dollar dips on improved market mood amid coronavirus vaccine and US stimulus hopes. US Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin’s push for utilizing $455 billion from the CARES Act also bodes well for gold.

Although, gold’s corrective advance could lose steam, in the wake of hopes for an imminent vaccine rollout. Optimism over a swift vaccine-driven economic recovery diminishes gold’s attractiveness as a safe-haven. Focus shifts to the US data dump and Fed Chair Powell’s testimony.

How is gold positioned on the price charts?

Gold: Key resistances and supports

The Technical Confluences Indicator shows that the XAU/USD pair shows that the bright metal is looking to extend its recovery towards the critical $1800 level, which is the convergence of the Fibonacci 23.6% one-week, SMA100 one-hour and SMA200 one-day.

On its way to the abovementioned barrier, gold is likely to face strong offers around $1790, which is a cluster of dense resistance levels, comprising of the previous day high and Pivot Point one-day R1.

To the downside, an immediate cushion is seen at $1778, where the SMA5 four-hour coincides with the previous low on one-hour.

Further down, the earlier powerful resistance now support at $1775 could be challenged. That level is the intersection of the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day and the previous week low.

The next soft cap awaits at $1770, the convergence of the Fibonacci 23.6% one-day and Bollinger Band one-day Lower.

The confluence of the Pivot Point one-day S1, Bollinger Band four-hour Lower and previous day low at $1765 is the last resort for the XAU bulls.

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About Confluence Detector

The TCI (Technical Confluences Indicator) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD remains below 1.1750 ahead of ECB policy decision

EUR/USD remains on the back foot below 1.1750 in the European session on Thursday. Traders move to the sidelines and refrain from placing any fresh directional bets on the pair ahead of the ECB policy announcements and the US CPI inflation data. 

GBP/USD stays defensive below 1.3400, awaits BoE and US CPI

GBP/USD oscillates in a narrow band below 1.3400 in European trading on Thursday. The pair trades with caution as markets eagerly await the BoE policy verdict and US consumer inflation data for fresh directional impetus. 

Gold holds losses below $4,350 ahead of US CPI report

Gold struggles to capitalize on the previous day's move higher and holds its pullback below $4,350 in the European session on Thursday. The downtick could be attributed to some profit-taking amid a US Dollar bounce. All eyes now remain on the US CPI inflation data. 

BoE set to resume easing cycle, trimming interest rate to 3.75%

The Bank of England will announce its last monetary policy decision of 2025 on Thursday at 12:00 GMT. The market prices a 25-basis-point rate cut, which would leave the BoE’s Bank Rate at 3.75%.

US CPI data expected to show inflation rose slightly to 3.1%, cooling Fed rate cut bets for January

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the all-important Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for November on Thursday at 13:30 GMT. The CPI inflation in the US is expected to rise at an annual rate of 3.1% in November

Dogecoin Price Forecast: DOGE breaks key support amid declining investor confidence

Dogecoin (DOGE) trades in the red on Thursday, following a 4% decline on the previous day. The DOGE supply in profit declines as large wallet investors trim their portfolios. Derivatives data shows a surge in bearish positions amid declining retail interest.