|

Gold Price Analysis: Finding its footing and ready to rise ahead of the Fed – Confluence Detector

Gold has been consolidating its gains and now faces the Federal Reserve's rate decision. Will Chairman Jerome Powell propel the precious metal higher? How is XAU/USD positioned on the charts?

The Technical Confluences Indicator is showing that gold is trading above support at $1,717, which is the convergence of the Simple Moving Average 200-4h, the SMA 5-1h, the SMA 10-15m, the Fibonacci 61.8% one-week, the Bollinger Band 15min-Middle, and more.

There are several cushions further to the downside, with a significant cluster at $1,707, which is where the SAM 10-4h and the Fibonacci 61.8% one-month. 

Further down, the next noteworthy support line awaits at $1,701, which is where the 50-day Simple Moving Average hits the price.

Resistance awaits at $1,722, which is where the previous daily high, the SMA 100-4h, and the Bollinger Band one-day Middle all meet.

The upside target is $1,730, which is the confluence of the Fibonacci 38.2% one-month and the Pivot Point one-week Resistance 1.

All in all, the path of least resistance is up

Here is how it looks on the tool:

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences. The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

This tool assigns a certain amount of “weight” to each indicator, and this “weight” can influence adjacents price levels. These weightings mean that one price level without any indicator or moving average but under the influence of two “strongly weighted” levels accumulate more resistance than their neighbors. In these cases, the tool signals resistance in apparently empty areas.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Author

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

More from Yohay Elam
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD remains below 1.1750 ahead of ECB policy decision

EUR/USD remains on the back foot below 1.1750 in the European session on Thursday. Traders move to the sidelines and refrain from placing any fresh directional bets on the pair ahead of the ECB policy announcements and the US CPI inflation data. 

GBP/USD stays defensive below 1.3400, awaits BoE and US CPI

GBP/USD oscillates in a narrow band below 1.3400 in European trading on Thursday. The pair trades with caution as markets eagerly await the BoE policy verdict and US consumer inflation data for fresh directional impetus. 

Gold holds losses below $4,350 ahead of US CPI report

Gold struggles to capitalize on the previous day's move higher and holds its pullback below $4,350 in the European session on Thursday. The downtick could be attributed to some profit-taking amid a US Dollar bounce. All eyes now remain on the US CPI inflation data. 

BoE set to resume easing cycle, trimming interest rate to 3.75%

The Bank of England will announce its last monetary policy decision of 2025 on Thursday at 12:00 GMT. The market prices a 25-basis-point rate cut, which would leave the BoE’s Bank Rate at 3.75%.

US CPI data expected to show inflation rose slightly to 3.1%, cooling Fed rate cut bets for January

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the all-important Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for November on Thursday at 13:30 GMT. The CPI inflation in the US is expected to rise at an annual rate of 3.1% in November

Dogecoin Price Forecast: DOGE breaks key support amid declining investor confidence

Dogecoin (DOGE) trades in the red on Thursday, following a 4% decline on the previous day. The DOGE supply in profit declines as large wallet investors trim their portfolios. Derivatives data shows a surge in bearish positions amid declining retail interest.