|

German ZEW Economic Sentiment Index unexpectedly rises to 12.8 in December vs. 8.8 expected

  • Germany’s ZEW Economic Sentiment Index improved to 12.8 in December.
  • EUR/USD is holding higher near 1.0800 after the mixed ZEW surveys.

The headline German ZEW Economic Sentiment Index unexpectedly improved to 12.8 in December from 9.8 in November. The market expected an 8.8 readout.

However, the Current Situation Index dropped to -77.1 from -79.8 prior, missing estimates of -75.5.

During the same period, the Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment Index jumped to 23.0, compared to a 13.8 figure registered in November. The data surpassed expectations of 12.0.

Key points

Despite the current budget crisis, the assessment of the situation and economic expectations for germany have once again slightly improved.

This is due to the fact that the share of respondents expecting interest rate cuts by the ECB in the medium term has doubled.

Good news for German construction industry, for which we observe significantly more optimistic expectations this month.

Share of respondents expecting inflation rates to fall further is decreasing.

Market reaction

The EUR/USD pair is testing intraday highs near 1.0800 after ZEW surveys, adding 0.32% on the day.

Euro price today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the US Dollar.

 USDEURGBPCADAUDJPYNZDCHF
USD -0.26%-0.08%-0.09%-0.41%-0.48%-0.49%-0.11%
EUR0.25% 0.17%0.18%-0.17%-0.25%-0.24%0.15%
GBP0.09%-0.17% 0.01%-0.32%-0.39%-0.38%-0.02%
CAD0.08%-0.17%-0.01% -0.31%-0.39%-0.41%-0.03%
AUD0.40%0.15%0.32%0.32% -0.11%-0.09%0.27%
JPY0.49%0.23%0.41%0.38%0.10% 0.01%0.38%
NZD0.49%0.23%0.40%0.40%0.09%-0.01% 0.37%
CHF0.09%-0.16%0.01%0.02%-0.30%-0.41%-0.39% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD turns south toward 0.6900 as USD firms up

AUD/USD sees fresh selling and drops toward 0.6900 in late Asian trading on Monday, as renewed US Dollar strength weighs on the pair amid lingering Middle East and Russia-Ukraine geopolitical tensions. Focus remains on Oil prices, Treasury bond yields, and RBA expectations for fresh trading impetus in the major.

USD/JPY retakes 158.00 amid hawkish BoJ bets, firmer USD

USD/JPY erases losses and retakes 158.00 in the Asian session on Monday, trading within a one-week-old range. Geopolitical uncertainty continues to underpin the US Dollar, despite fading Fed rate hike hopes, supporting the pair's rebound. However, further upside could be capped by hawkish BoJ expectations and looming intervention risks that could support the Japanese Yen.

Gold flirts with $4,100, four-day lows

Gold adds to Friday’s losses and comes closer to the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce at the beginning of the week. The yellow metal’s retracement comes in response to the persistent advance in the US Dollar in combination with the resurgence of the upside momentum in US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin rally slows while Ethereum and XRP extend recovery amid slowing ETF inflows

Bitcoin is narrowly consolidating while trading above $86,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, on the other hand, show a positive outlook, with Ethereum edging higher above $2,700 while Ripple steadies above $1.52.

Eurozone inflation just hit 3.8%, its highest in three years. This chart shows why the ECB can’t simply hike its way out

The ECB would normally have a relatively straightforward answer to inflation running almost twice its target: raise interest rates. But these are not normal circumstances. This time, the bond market is already doing part of the tightening for it, leaving the ECB facing an increasingly difficult dilemma.

Eurozone inflation just hit 3.8%, its highest in three years. This chart shows why the ECB can’t simply hike its way out

The ECB would normally have a relatively straightforward answer to inflation running almost twice its target: raise interest rates. But these are not normal circumstances. This time, the bond market is already doing part of the tightening for it, leaving the ECB facing an increasingly difficult dilemma.