|

GBP/USD struggling to hold 1.31 as Brexit weighs on Sterling traders, eyes on US PMI

  • The Sterling continues to waffle to the weak side as Brexit concerns drag the GBP down.
  • The upcoming London session promises to be a quiet showing unless new Brexit development headlines drop, and traders will be looking for volatility from the US' PMIs due later.

The GBP/USD remains trapped by continued fretting over Brexit, trading just beneath 1.3100 heading into Tuesday's London market session as the major pair continues the current trend of slumping into fresh lows.

The Sterling has closed lower against the Greenback for three straight months, and is currently on pace to make it a fourth with July leaning into the bearish side. Brexit continues to be a thorn in the side of Sterling bulls, hampered by the steadily-rising chance of a disorderly exit from the European Union as a successfully-negotiated trade deal between hard-line leavers in the UK's parliament and staunch European leaders in Brussels continues to look like a slim occurrence. Prime Minister Theresa May continues to stick to her guns, ruling out the possibility of a second Brexit referendum, and newly-appointed Brexit Secretary Jeremy Hunt accused the European bloc of essentially trapping the UK in a giant game of chicken, claiming that "many people in the EU are thinking that they just have to wait long enough and Britain will blink". European leaders made a point of delivering a statement that nobody wants to see a hard-landing Brexit, whether on accident or otherwise, and that everyone is working hard to ensure that an orderly Brexit happens.

Tuesday's economic calendar for the GBP/USD is an anemic showing, with the only GBP-focused release being the low-tier CBI Industrial Trends Survey, coming in at 10:00 GMT, and the m/m survey for July is expected to contract from 13 to 10, a bearish showing for executive's opinions on forward-looking output expectations. The upcoming US session will also be the m/m May Housing Price Index at 13:00 GMT, forecast to tick up from 0.1% to 0.4%, while the preliminary Markit Composite PMI for July, due at 13:45 GMT, is expected to shift down from 56.2 to 56.0.

GBP/USD Levels to watch

The Sterling remains trapped by concerns on both sides of the Atlantic, with trade wars denting the US Dollar, and GBP bulls being held at bay by ongoing Brexit tensions. As FXStreet's Chief Analyst Valeria Bednarik noted on the GBP/USD's technical outlook: "the GBP/USD pair settled mid-US afternoon around 1.3100, retreating from a 4-day high of 1.3157 but held at the upper end of Friday's range. Technically, the 4 hours chart shows that it's still holding above a mild bullish 20 SMA, but also that technical indicators retreated after a period of consolidation, with the RSI indicator entering negative territory, supporting additional declines ahead on a break below 1.3080 where the pair topped a couple of times last week and is now the immediate support."

 Support levels: 1.3080 1.3035 1.3000

Resistance levels: 1.3155  1.3195 1.3240

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD holds steady near 0.7200 amid escalating US-Iran tensions

AUD/USD consolidates just below its highest level since mid-May, touched on Friday, and hovers around 0.7200 at the start of a new week amid mixed cues. Hawkish RBA expectations continue to act as a tailwind for the Aussie. Meanwhile, the upbeat US NFP report lifted Fed rate hike bets, which, along with escalating US-Iran tensions, underpins the safe-haven US Dollar and caps the currency pair.

USD/JPY hovers around 156.00 as more hawkish BoJ bets cap gains

USD/JPY holds steady above 156.00 on Monday as the US Dollar draws support from escalating US-Iran tensions and rising Fed rate-hike bets, bolstered by Friday's upbeat NFP report. Moreover, concerns over Japan’s fiscal outlook keep the Japanese Yen on the back foot and support the currency pair, though more hawkish BoJ expectations and a suspected intervention cap the upside.

Gold falls below $4,400 as strong US jobs data raise the prospects for Fed rate hike

Gold price tumbles to near $4,395 during the Asian session on Monday. The precious metal extends the decline as robust US employment data boost US Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike bets. The US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) climbed by 162K in August, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) revealed on Friday.

The week ahead: Dollar at a crossroads as CPI and ECB take centre stage
With the summer finally over, investors returned with a strong appetite for action. Following last week’s strong performance, the US dollar has taken a back seat so far this week, as oil, the yen and sovereign bond yields monopolized market interest.
CFTC report: Oil rebound offsets broader positioning retreat
The week in one sentence: Speculative positioning became more defensive in the week ending September 1. Yen short positioning recorded the largest deterioration, while Gold length also retreated. Oil buying returned alongside stronger prices, and Canadian Dollar and Euro positioning improved, although Euro flows diverged from weaker spot prices.
Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.