|

GBP/USD stretches higher toward 1.31 on dismal NFP figures

  • Brexit headlines boost the demand for pound sterling on Friday.
  • Greenback weakens following the U.S. employment report.
  • Nonfarm payroll increase by 134K in September vs 185K expected.

The GBP/USD pair gained traction on Brexit headlines during the European trading hours and rose toward 1.3050. With today's nonfarm payrolls figures falling short of market expectations, the greenback lost its strength and the pair rose to a fresh 5-day high at 1.2088 in the last hour. As of writing, the pair was up 0.5% on the day at 1.3085.

Earlier today, citing EU source with direct knowledge of the matter Reuters reported that Brexit negotiators believe that a divorce deal with the UK was 'very close.' Reflecting the broad-based GBP strength, the EUR/GBP pair slumped to its lowest level since early July at 0.8807.

On the other hand, the US Dollar Index, which spiked to a session top near 96 with the initial reaction to the employment report, reversed its course and was last seen down 0.12% on the day at 95.65. According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, nonfarm payrolls increased by 134,000 in September to disappoint participants who were forecasting a 185,000 growth. On a positive note, the August reading got revised up to 270,000 from 201,000 and the unemployment rate fell to its lowest level since 1969 at 3.7%.

Commenting on the data, "The large upward revision to August payrolls, from 201,000 to 270,000 takes some of the sting out of the September number. Taken together the total of 404,000 is slightly above the recent average," FXStreet Senior Analyst Joseph Trevisani said and added:

"There is little in this report to dissuade the Fed from continuing its projected rate path. Remember, the Fed is not tightening to choke off future inflation, or curtail excessive growth, at least not yet, but to return interest rates to a more 'normal' level. What the normal or neutral level might be in relation to economic growth is uncertain."

Technical levels to consider

The pair could face the initial resistance at 1.3090/1.3100 (20-DMA/psychological level) ahead of 1.3165 (Sep. 24 high) and 1.3215 (Sep. 26 high). On the downside, supports are located at 1.3060 (100-DMA), 1.3000 (psychological level) and 1.2955 (50-DMA).  

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims losses, back to 1.1830

EUR/USD manages to regain some composure, leaving behind part of the earlier losses and reclaim the 1.1830 region on Tuesday. In the meantime, the US Dollar’s upside impulse loses some momentum while investors remain cautious ahead of upcoming US data releases, including the FOMC Minutes.

GBP/USD bounces off lows, retargets 1.3550

After bottoming out just below the 1.3500 yardstick, GBP/USD now gathers some fresh bids and advances to the 1.3530-1.3540 band in the latter part of Tuesday’s session. Cable’s recovery comes as the Greenback surrenders part of its advance, although it keeps the bullish bias well in place for the day.

Gold remains offered below $5,000

Gold stays on the defensive on Tuesday, receding to the sub-$5,000 region per troy ounce on the back of the persistent move higher in the Greenback. The precious metal’s decline is also underpinned by the modest uptick in US Treasury yields across the spectrum.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP upside looks limited amid deteriorating retail demand

The cryptocurrency market extends weakness with major coins including Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) trading in sideways price action at the time of writing on Tuesday.

UK jobs market weakens, bolstering rate cut hopes

In the UK, the latest jobs report made for difficult reading. Nonetheless, this represents yet another reminder for the Bank of England that they need to act swiftly given the collapse in inflation expected over the coming months. 

Ripple slides to $1.45 as downside risks surge

Ripple edges lower at the time of writing on Tuesday, from the daily open of $1.48, as headwinds persist across the crypto market. A short-term support is emerging at $1.45, but a buildup of bearish positions could further weaken the derivatives market and prolong the correction.