|

GBP/USD slides to over one-month low, below 1.1800 mark amid sustained USD buying

  • GBP/USD continues losing ground for the fourth straight day and drops to a fresh monthly low.
  • Hawkish Fed expectations, the risk-off mood underpin the safe-haven USD and exert pressure.
  • The UK’s bleak economic outlook continues to weigh on the GBP and contribute to the decline.

The GBP/USD pair turns lower for the fourth straight day on Monday and drops to over a one-month low during the early European session. The pair is currently trading just below the 1.1800 round-figure mark and seems vulnerable to prolonging its bearish trend witnessed over the past two weeks or so.

The US dollar buying remains unabated on the first day of a new week and turns out to be a key factor exerting downward pressure on the GBP/USD pair. In fact, the USD Index climbs to its highest level since mid-July amid firming expectations that the US central bank will stick to its aggressive policy tightening path. The bets were reaffirmed by the recent hawkish comments by several Fed officials, which, along with a fresh bout of the global risk-aversion traders, continues to boost demand for the safe-haven greenback.

The British pound, on the other hand, is weighed down by the UK's bleak economic outlook and growing recession fears. The worries were further fueled by a further deterioration in the UK Gfk consumer confidence index, which dropped to another record low level of -44 in August. This, to a larger extent, overshadowed the prospects for a 50 bps rate hike by the Bank of England in September and might undermine sterling. This, in turn, supports prospects for an extension of the GBP/USD pair's ongoing depreciating move.

Hence, a subsequent fall towards challenging the YTD low, around the 1.1760 region touched in July, now looks like a distinct possibility. In the absence of any major market-moving economic releases, either from the UK or the US, the USD price dynamics will continue to play a key role in influencing the GBP/USD pair.

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1795
Today Daily Change-0.0033
Today Daily Change %-0.28
Today daily open1.1828
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2102
Daily SMA501.2088
Daily SMA1001.2369
Daily SMA2001.2876
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1937
Previous Daily Low1.1792
Previous Weekly High1.2148
Previous Weekly Low1.1792
Previous Monthly High1.2246
Previous Monthly Low1.176
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1847
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1882
Daily Pivot Point S11.1768
Daily Pivot Point S21.1708
Daily Pivot Point S31.1623
Daily Pivot Point R11.1913
Daily Pivot Point R21.1998
Daily Pivot Point R31.2058

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD edges lower due to safe-haven demand

GBP/USD inches lower after opening at a bullish gap, trading around 1.3200 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair loses ground as the Pound Sterling declines against the US Dollar amid emerging safe-haven demand, which could be attributed to the United States-Iran talks uncertainty.

EUR/USD remains stronger despite uncertainty surrounding US-Iran talks

EUR/USD pair maintains its upward momentum for a third consecutive session, trading near 1.1390 during Monday's Asian hours. Despite this positive streak, the Euro’s gains could face headwinds if geopolitical uncertainty sparks a flight to safety, boosting the US Dollar.

Gold falls to near $4,050 amid US- Iran talks uncertainty

Gold price attracts some sellers to around $4,050 during the Asian trading hours on Monday. The precious metal declines amid uncertainty surrounding US-Iran talks and hawkish Federal Reserve expectations. The US Nonfarm Payrolls data will take center stage later on Thursday. 

Week ahead: NFP report to challenge Dollar strength and the hawkish Fed
The end of the Middle East conflict and the steps made so far towards securing a comprehensive deal over the next five weeks – with oil prices dropping aggressively but maintaining a small risk premium – has allowed investors to focus elsewhere. Contrary to expectations, the greenback has been the main protagonist lately.
Middle East War updates: US, Iran appear to be returning to talks to end the war

Here’s a brief recap of the key developments in the Middle East war that occurred over the weekend, which are expected to have a significant impact on markets in the upcoming week.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.