|

GBP/USD recovers to 1.4180, bearish bias remains on looming Brexit

For the time being, the GBP/USD pair seems to have found some support around 1.4120-15 session low level and has recovered to move back above 1.4150 level. 

The British Pound continues to react with extreme volatility to the outcome of various polls on 'Brexit' referendum, which remains the key sentiment driver and the biggest macro fundamental overhang for the British Pound until June 23. The latest poll results revealed lead for voters supporting the 'Leave' camp, driving the GBP/USD major down for fourth consecutive day. 

Meanwhile, investors will also remain focused on a slew of economic releases / events, including the much awaited FOMC meeting outcome on Wednesday, which could further determine the risk-on/off sentiment and drive the pair in the near-term.

From a technical perspective, break below 1.4350 important support confirmed a bearish Double-Top chart pattern on daily chart thus, making the pair vulnerable to further downside in the near-term

Technical outlook

Pointing to the ongoing bearish sentiment surrounding the GBP/USD pair, Valeria Bednarik, Chief Analyst at FXStreet writes, "the GBP/USD pair shows that the price keeps pressuring its lows, whilst the technical indicators maintain strong bearish slopes, despite being in extreme oversold territory. The decline has been so sharp over the last three trading days, that the 20 SMA is now almost 300 pips above the current level, indicating the strength of selling interest."

Further, she notes. "The movement is way overextended, but there are no signs that the pair may change bias. Should it break below 1.4100, the decline can extend down to 1.4060 first, and 1.4020 later on the day. The immediate resistance on the other hand, comes at 1.4155, with a recovery above it probably favoring an upward corrective movement up to 1.4200. Selling interest is expected to resurge around this last."

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds from session lows, stays below 1.1650

EUR/USD is recovers modestly from session lows but remains in the red below 1.1650 in European trading on Thursday. The pair faces headwinds from a renewed uptick in the US Dollar amid a negative shift in risk sentiment. Surging energy prices due to the Middle East war keep the bearish pressure intact on the Euro. The US Jobless Claims data are next of note. 

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3350 amid UK stagflation risks

GBP/USD sticks to losses near 1.3350 in the European session on Thursday. The Pound Sterling loses ground amid fears that the United Kingdom economy could face stagflation risks due to higher energy prices, while the US Dollar attracts fresh havem demand ahead of the US Jobless Claims data. 

Gold climbs near $5,200 as Iran war fuels safe-haven demand

Gold price extends its gains for the second successive session on Thursday as traders seek safety amid the ongoing war in the Middle East. US and Israeli strikes across Iranian territory and widespread Iranian missile and drone retaliation across the Middle East, including attacks on regional targets and military sites, prolong the crisis and its impact.

Three reasons to be bearish on Bitcoin

Bitcoin is holding up well taking into account the uncertainty stemming from the Middle East. Despite this week’s rally, the long-term outlook remains bearish. Here are three reasons why I think the storm for the largest cryptocurrency isn't over yet.

Markets attempt to rally on positive news from Iran

There’s been an abrupt change in sentiment this morning, European stock markets are higher and oil and gas prices are moderating, after comments from Iran’s deputy minister about pre-conflict talks between Iran and the US.

Cardano Price Analysis: Approaches key trendline amid bearish sentiment

Cardano (ADA) price is approaching its descending trendline around $0.28 at the time of writing, set to shape the next directional move. The derivatives metrics paint a bearish picture, with ADA’s Open Interest continuing to fall and short bets rising among traders.