GBP/USD recovers some lost ground near 1.2550 ahead of the UK employment, US CPI data


  • GBP/USD recovers some lost ground near 1.2550 on the consolidation of the US Dollar.
  • The US Nonfarm Payrolls beat the market expectations in November, adding 199K new jobs to the US economy.
  • The BoE is likely to keep borrowing costs at a 15-year high at its December meeting on Thursday.
  • Investors will focus on the UK employment data and US inflation data, due on Tuesday.

The GBP/USD pair holds positive ground during the early Asian session on Monday. The pair recovers some lost ground from Friday’s low of 1.2500 and currently trades around 1.2551, gaining 0.03% on the day. The US Nonfarm Payrolls came in better than market expectations. Traders await the key events from the FOMC and BoE meeting this week and these events could trigger volatility in the market.

The Bank of England (BoE) governor Andrew Bailey said last month it was far too early to be thinking about rate cuts while warning there was “no room for complacency” on inflation despite a fall in the Consumer Price Index from 6.7% in September to 4.6% in October. The BoE is likely to keep borrowing costs at a 15-year high at its December meeting on Thursday.


The US Nonfarm Payrolls beat market expectations in November, adding 199K new jobs in the US economy from October’s print of 150K payroll additions. Furthermore, the Unemployment Rate declined to 3.7% from 3.9% while the Average hourly earnings remained unchanged at 4.0% YoY.

Last week, US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell said earlier this month that it would be premature to conclude with confidence that the Fed had achieved a sufficiently restrictive stance to tame inflation. Powell added that we are prepared to tighten policy further if it becomes appropriate to do so. Nonetheless, investors speculated that the upbeat US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report may convince the Federal Reserve (Fed) to delay rate cutting in 2024.

Market players will keep an eye on the UK employment data, including Employment Change, Claimant Count Change, and ILO Unemployment Rate, due on Tuesday. Also, the US inflation data, as measured by the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be released later on Tuesday. The focus will shift to the US FOMC meeting on Wednesday and the BoE policy meeting on Thursday.

 

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.2554
Today Daily Change 0.0006
Today Daily Change % 0.05
Today daily open 1.2548
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.255
Daily SMA50 1.2339
Daily SMA100 1.2464
Daily SMA200 1.2486
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.2602
Previous Daily Low 1.2502
Previous Weekly High 1.2724
Previous Weekly Low 1.2502
Previous Monthly High 1.2733
Previous Monthly Low 1.2096
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.254
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2564
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.25
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2452
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2401
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2599
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.265
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2698

 

 

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