|

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Rebounds on data, yet falls below 1.3100

  • GBP/USD trades below 1.3100 after posting an upbeat retail sales report.
  • A daily close above 1.3100 could target further upside, with resistance at 1.3175 and 1.3200, followed by 1.3266.
  • A drop below 1.3100 may shift momentum to sellers, targeting 1.3058 and the September 11 low of 1.3001.

The Pound Sterling recovered some ground against the Greenback on Tuesday, following a better-than-expected retail sales report, yet it has fallen below the 1.3100 figure as the North American session progresses. The GBP/USD trades at 1.3090, virtually unchanged.

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

Price action shows some consolidation at around the 1.3050 – 1.3120 area for the second straight day. Even though momentum shifted bearish, according to the Relative Strength Index (RSI), the GBP/USD printed a leg-up on Tuesday and pierced the 1.3100 area.

If bulls push prices higher and achieve a daily close above the previously mentioned key resistance level, it will open the door for further upside.

That outcome will expose the October 4 high at 1.3175. Next will be the 1.3200 figure, followed by the August 27 daily high of 1.3266, ahead of the 1.3300 mark.

Conversely, if GBP/USD tumbles below 1.3100 and achieves a daily close below the latter, sellers will have the upper hand and can challenge the current week low of 1.3058 before targeting the September 11 cycle low of 1.3001.

GBP/USD Price Action – Daily Chart

British Pound PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies today. British Pound was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD 0.07%0.00%0.06%0.41%0.50%0.26%0.40%
EUR-0.07% -0.06%-0.02%0.34%0.41%0.17%0.33%
GBP-0.00%0.06% 0.06%0.38%0.49%0.23%0.39%
JPY-0.06%0.02%-0.06% 0.47%0.45%0.18%0.36%
CAD-0.41%-0.34%-0.38%-0.47% 0.09%-0.14%0.00%
AUD-0.50%-0.41%-0.49%-0.45%-0.09% -0.25%-0.09%
NZD-0.26%-0.17%-0.23%-0.18%0.14%0.25% 0.16%
CHF-0.40%-0.33%-0.39%-0.36%-0.00%0.09%-0.16% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD defends 1.3300 after strong UK PMI data

Following Thursday's sharp decline, GBP/USD clings to small gains above 1.3300 in the American session on Friday, supported by the upbeat UK Retail Sales and July PMI data. Nevertheless, the pair's upside remains capped as investors cling to a cautious stance amid a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East. The US July PMI data failed to trigger relevant price action.

EUR/USD remains below 1.1400 after mixed US PMIs

EUR/USD pressures daily lows below the 1.1400 mark in the American session on Friday. Mixed S&P Global PMIs, as manufacturing output contracted while services activity expanded in July, triggered no relevant market reaction. The focus remains in Middle East developments and inflation-related concerns.

Gold holds above $4,050 but momentum still missing

Gold builds on its modest intraday bounce and climbs above the $4,050 level on Friday, hitting a fresh daily high amid a modest US Dollar pullback. The fundamental backdrop, however, warrants some caution before confirming that the pullback from an over two-week high, touched on Wednesday, has run its course and positioning for any meaningful upside.

Ethereum: Derivatives interest in ETH improves, but signs of caution remain

Ethereum is hovering slightly below the $1,900 level, down 3% on Thursday following a slight expansion in derivatives interest. The top altcoin's open interest has increased to 14.60 million ETH, marking a 600K ETH increase over the past two days and its highest level since June 7.

XRP retreats as ETF interest cools
Ripple (XRP) slides toward the short-term $1.10 support on Friday, as broader crypto market sentiment weighs on crypto assets. The sell-off mainly stems from fears of inflation in the United States (US) amid the ongoing war in the Middle East and rising Oil prices.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.