|

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Falls toward nine-day EMA support near 1.3650

  • GBP/USD may target 1.3869, its highest level since September 2021.
  • The 14-day Relative Strength Index at 56 remains above the midline after easing from overbought levels.
  • The immediate support is seen at the nine-day EMA near 1.3655.

GBP/USD remains subdued after two days of losses, trading around 1.3680 during the European hours on Tuesday. The technical analysis of the daily chart points to a persistent bullish bias, as the pair trades within an ascending channel.

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI), a momentum indicator, is at 56 (neutral) after easing from overbought, keeping momentum above the midline. RSI flattening near 56 signals consolidation risk before trend extension.

The nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.3652 rises and remains below spot, while the 50-day EMA at 1.3513 extends higher and underpins the broader uptrend. The short-term average holds above the medium-term gauge, preserving a bullish alignment. Trend dynamics remain favorable as both moving averages slope upward, indicating buyers retain control on dips. A daily close below the nine-EMA would warn of fatigue, though the 50-EMA underneath would cushion retracements.

The GBP/USD pair may target the 1.3869, the highest since September 2021, reached on January 27. Further advances would support the pair to test the upper boundary of the ascending channel around 1.4090. A break above the channel could open a fresh leg higher toward 1.4248, the highest since April 2018.

On the downside, the immediate support lies at the nine-day EMA of 1.3655. A break below the short-term average would weaken the momentum and expose the lower boundary of the ascending channel around 1.3570, followed by the 50-day EMA at 1.3513. Further declines would put downward pressure on the GBP/USD pair, testing the support reversal zone around 1.3350.

GBP/USD: Daily Chart

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

Pound Sterling Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies today. British Pound was the weakest against the Japanese Yen.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.00%0.14%-0.30%0.02%0.23%0.15%-0.08%
EUR0.00%0.15%-0.31%0.03%0.23%0.15%-0.08%
GBP-0.14%-0.15%-0.47%-0.12%0.08%-0.00%-0.23%
JPY0.30%0.31%0.47%0.33%0.54%0.45%0.22%
CAD-0.02%-0.03%0.12%-0.33%0.20%0.12%-0.10%
AUD-0.23%-0.23%-0.08%-0.54%-0.20%-0.08%-0.31%
NZD-0.15%-0.15%0.00%-0.45%-0.12%0.08%-0.23%
CHF0.08%0.08%0.23%-0.22%0.10%0.31%0.23%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD falls to near 0.7100 after slipping below 50-day EMA

AUD/USD depreciates after registering minor gains in the previous day, trading around 0.7120 during the Asian hours. The technical analysis of the daily chart shows the pair consolidating sideways within a rectangle pattern, as neither bulls nor bears gain control. The AUD/USD pair is holding a slight bearish tone however as it sits beneath both the nine-day and 50-day EMAs.

160.00: USD/JPY back near intervention territory after upbeat US jobs report

US Nonfarm Payrolls beat expectations by a wide margin in May, with 172K jobs added. The US Dollar rebounds after the release, helping USD/JPY recover from its intraday lows. Warnings from Japanese authorities continue to limit upside potential near the 160.00 threshold.

Gold remains offered below $4,500 following US Payrolls

Gold prices trade with a bearish bias and still remain below the key $4,500 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week. The slighlty softer tone in the US Dollar alongside mixed US Treasury yields across the curve also keep the yellow metal’s downside somewhat contained.

 

Cardano hits five-year low even as Hoskinson clarifies "break" isn't an exit

Cardano (ADA) price is down 10% at press time on Friday, extending losses over 30% so far this week amid Charles Hoskinson's clarification that "break" isn't an exit.

Week ahead – Fed countdown begins amid US inflation data and geopolitical risks

Fed Chair Warsh’s first meeting approaches as key US inflation data could reshape expectations. Oil prices remain elevated as US-Iran talks continue; tariffs also return to the spotlight. ECB is expected to hike; will it be a one-off move or is July live?

The US economy defies the rules: 100 days into the Oil shock and the recession signal is still missing

More than three months after the start of the Iran war and the resulting disruption to global energy markets, the US economy continues to display remarkable resilience. The conflict has triggered a sharp rise in Oil prices, reignited inflationary pressures and fueled widespread concerns about a potential economic slowdown.