|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: The initial support level is located at 1.2610

  • GBP/USD trades in positive territory around 1.2628 in Monday’s early European session. 
  • The pair keeps the bearish outlook below the key EMA; RSI indicator lies below the 50 midlines. 
  • The first upside barrier is seen in the 1.2640–1.2645 region; 1.2610 acts as an initial support level. 

The GBP/USD pair holds positive ground near 1.2628, snapping the two-day losing streak on Monday. The modest recovery of the major pair is backed by the dovish comments from Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell. The Fed’s Powell stated on Friday that recent US inflation data was in line with expectations and that the Fed's goal for the interest rate this year remained unchanged. The US central bank maintains projections of three rate cuts this year, and traders anticipate the first rate cuts will begin in the June meeting.

According to the four-hour chart, GBP/USD maintains the bearish outlook unchanged as the major pair is below the key 50-period and 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the four-hour chart. Additionally, the downward momentum is supported by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which lies below the 50 midlines, suggesting the path of least resistance level is to the downside. 

The first upside target for GBP/USD is seen near the confluence of the upper boundary of the Bollinger Band and the 50-period EMA at the 1.2640–1.2645 zone. A decisive break above the mentioned level will expose the 100-period EMA at 1.2671. Further north, the next hurdle is located at a high of March 18 at 1.2746, and finally the 1.2800 psychological level. 

On the flip side, the lower limit of the Bollinger Band at 1.2610 acts as an initial support level for the major pair. Any follow-through selling will see a rally to a low of March 22 at 1.2575. The contention level to watch is a low of February 14 at 1.2535, and finally at the 1.2500 round figure. 

GBP/USD four-hour chart

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2628
Today Daily Change0.0003
Today Daily Change %0.02
Today daily open1.2625
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2717
Daily SMA501.2676
Daily SMA1001.2657
Daily SMA2001.259
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2645
Previous Daily Low1.261
Previous Weekly High1.2668
Previous Weekly Low1.2586
Previous Monthly High1.2894
Previous Monthly Low1.2575
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2632
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2624
Daily Pivot Point S11.2608
Daily Pivot Point S21.2592
Daily Pivot Point S31.2573
Daily Pivot Point R11.2643
Daily Pivot Point R21.2662
Daily Pivot Point R31.2679

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Editor's Picks

USD/JPY holds pullback from 161.80 on hawkish BoJ-speak

USD/JPY is holding above 161.00 in the Asian session on Friday, on a retreat from its highest level since July 2024 set the previous day. Hawkish BoJ commentary and April Minutes affirm further rate hike expectations, offsetting the softer Japanese National CPI print and support the Japanese Yen as intervention fears loom.

AUD/USD attacks 0.7000 amid stronger US Dollar

AUD/USD attacks 0.7000 in the Asian session on Friday, remaining close to the weekly low, and seems poised to register modest weekly losses. The US Dollar sits near its highest level since May 2025 as the Fed's hawkish tilt overshadows optimism over the US-Iran peace deal, weighing on the pair.

Gold remains a lose-lose trade despite the US-Iran peace deal

Gold extends three-day losing streak below $4,200, eyes third straight weekly loss. The US Dollar sits at yearly highs amid hawkish Fed outlook, renewed Iran tensions. Technically, Gold remains vulnerable, with a retest of $4,000 likely on the cards.

Bitcoin weakens, Ethereum turns lower, XRP faces channel rejection

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are trading under pressure on Friday as risk-off continues to weigh on the broader cryptocurrency market. BTC has fallen more than 4% so far this week, and ETH is extending losses, trading around $1,700. Meanwhile, XRP faces rejection at the upper boundary of its parallel downward channel, hinting at further correction.

 Back above 100: Kevin Warsh’s first Fed meeting sparks US Dollar rally

The US Dollar Index did a phoenix comeback, rising from its ashes and reconquering 100. The reasons behind the US Dollar rally are pretty clear: the Memorandum of Understanding between the United States and Iran, and a hawkish Federal Reserve. Both events were long-awaited and much expected. However, the market reacted with surprise when there were no surprises at all.

The next big AI trade may not be about chips or software

Artificial intelligence has already created some of the biggest winners in modern market history. Chipmakers have surged, data centre construction is booming, and electricity demand forecasts are changing globally.