|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Remains inside falling wedge ahead of UK Inflation

  • GBP/USD is displaying a sideways auction as the focus has shifted to UK Inflation.
  • BoE Bailey reiterated that they must use the tool of interest rate rises carefully.
  • GBP/USD is auctioning in a Falling Wedge pattern in which each pullback is considered as a selling opportunity.

The GBP/USD pair is displaying a back-and-forth action around 1.2420 in the early Tokyo session. Earlier, the Cable showed significant recovery after defending the downside near 1.2380. A power-pack action is anticipated from the Pound Sterling ahead of the United Kingdom’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) data (April).

Headline inflation is seen softening sharply to 8.2% from the former release of 10.1%. The core CPI is expected to remain steady at 6.2%. On Tuesday, Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey said "I think we are nearer to the peak than we were” and reiterated that they must use the tool of interest rate rises carefully.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is looking to surpass the crucial resistance of 103.62 amid US debt-ceiling issues. International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva cited on Tuesday that "A lack of solution would have a detrimental impact on the US and world economy,” "Hopefully we won't have to wait to the 11th hour for a solution on the US debt-ceiling."

GBP/USD is auctioning in a Falling Wedge chart pattern on a two-hour scale in which each pullback is considered a selling opportunity by the market participants. Also, the chances of a bullish reversal remain higher. The 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.2440 is acting as a barrier for the Pound Sterling bulls.

Meanwhile, a 40.00-60.00 range oscillation by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) will get a decisive move after the release of the UK Inflation.

Should the asset decline below May 19 low at 1.2390, US Dollar bulls will get strengthened further and will drag the Cable toward April 10 low at 1.2344 followed by April 03 low at 1.2275.

On the flip side, a recovery move above May 09 high at 1.2640 will drive the major toward the round-level resistance at 1.2700 and 26 April 2022 high at 1.2772.

GBP/USD two-hour chart

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2419
Today Daily Change-0.0018
Today Daily Change %-0.14
Today daily open1.2437
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2515
Daily SMA501.2416
Daily SMA1001.2274
Daily SMA2001.1971
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2472
Previous Daily Low1.2414
Previous Weekly High1.2547
Previous Weekly Low1.2392
Previous Monthly High1.2584
Previous Monthly Low1.2275
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2436
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.245
Daily Pivot Point S11.241
Daily Pivot Point S21.2382
Daily Pivot Point S31.2351
Daily Pivot Point R11.2468
Daily Pivot Point R21.25
Daily Pivot Point R31.2527

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD retreats toward 1.1700 on modest USD recovery

EUR/USD stays under mild bearish pressure and trades below 1.1750 on Friday. Although trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, the modest recovery seen in the US Dollar causes the pair to edge lower. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes near 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades marginally lower on the day at around 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold advances toward $4,400 and gains more than 1.5% on the day after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking heading into the end of the year. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).