GBP/USD Price Analysis: Refreshes day high around 1.2330 as USD Index dives further, BoE policy eyed


  • GBP/USD has printed a fresh day's high at 1.2330 as the USD index has continued its downside journey.
  • The cable is auctioning in a Rising Channel chart pattern in which every pullback is considered as a buying opportunity.
  • A range shift move by the RSI (14) into the bullish territory of 40.00-80.00 cement more upside ahead.

The GBP/USD pair has printed a fresh day high at 1.2330 in the early European session. The upside bias for Cable is backed by further weakness in the US Dollar Index (DXY) as the Federal Reserve (Fed) is approaching the phase of policy-tightening. Also, rising hawkish bets for Bank of England (BoE) policy after a surprise jump in the United Kingdom inflation is supporting the Pound Sterling.

Economists at Bank of America Global Research (BoA) are expecting a 25bp BoE rate hike, with dovish guidance.

The USD Index is struggling to sustain above 102.00 and is expected to extend its downside journey as the spotlight has shifted to risk-perceived assets. S&P500 futures have recovered firmly, indicating some revival in the risk appetite of the market participants.

GBP/USD is auctioning in a Rising Channel chart pattern on a four-hour scale in which every pullback is considered as a buying opportunity by the market participants. The Cable is marching towards the horizontal resistance plotted from December 13 high at 1.2444.

The 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.2245 is providing cushion to the Pound Sterling bulls.

A range shift move by the Relative Strength into the bullish arena of 40.00-80.00 from the bearish region of 20.00-60.00 indicates more upside ahead.

The Cable has already shown a stellar rally, therefore, a mean-reversion move to near 10-period EMA 1.2275 would be an optimal opportunity for making fresh long. This will drive the asset toward December 05 high at 1.2345 followed by the horizontal resistance plotted from December 13 high at 1.2444.

On the flip side, a breakdown below March 21 low at 1.2212 would drag the Cable toward the round-level support around 1.2100 and March 15 low around 1.2000.

GBP/USD four-hour chart

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.2329
Today Daily Change 0.0064
Today Daily Change % 0.52
Today daily open 1.2265
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.2057
Daily SMA50 1.2146
Daily SMA100 1.2073
Daily SMA200 1.1894
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.2336
Previous Daily Low 1.2209
Previous Weekly High 1.2204
Previous Weekly Low 1.201
Previous Monthly High 1.2402
Previous Monthly Low 1.1915
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2287
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2257
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2204
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2143
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2077
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2331
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2397
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2458

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD clings to daily gains above 1.0650

EUR/USD clings to daily gains above 1.0650

EUR/USD gained traction and turned positive on the day above 1.0650. The improvement seen in risk mood following the earlier flight to safety weighs on the US Dollar ahead of the weekend and helps the pair push higher.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD reversed its direction and advanced to the 1.2450 area after touching a fresh multi-month low below 1.2400 in the Asian session. The positive shift seen in risk mood on easing fears over a deepening Iran-Israel conflict supports the pair.

GBP/USD News

Gold holds steady at around $2,380 following earlier spike

Gold holds steady at around $2,380 following earlier spike

Gold stabilized near $2,380 after spiking above $2,400 with the immediate reaction to reports of Israel striking Iran. Meanwhile, the pullback seen in the US Treasury bond yields helps XAU/USD hold its ground.

Gold News

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in Premium

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in

Bitcoin price shows no signs of directional bias while it holds above  $60,000. The fourth BTC halving is partially priced in, according to Deutsche Bank’s research. 

Read more

Week ahead – US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda

Week ahead – US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda

US GDP, core PCE and PMIs the next tests for the Dollar. Investors await BoJ for guidance about next rate hike. EU and UK PMIs, as well as Australian CPIs also on tap.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures