GBP/USD Price Analysis: Refreshes day high around 1.2330 as USD Index dives further, BoE policy eyed

GBP/USD has printed a fresh day's high at 1.2330 as the USD index has continued its downside journey.
The cable is auctioning in a Rising Channel chart pattern in which every pullback is considered as a buying opportunity.
A range shift move by the RSI (14) into the bullish territory of 40.00-80.00 cement more upside ahead.

Sagar Dua FXStreet

The GBP/USD pair has printed a fresh day high at 1.2330 in the early European session. The upside bias for Cable is backed by further weakness in the US Dollar Index (DXY) as the Federal Reserve (Fed) is approaching the phase of policy-tightening. Also, rising hawkish bets for Bank of England (BoE) policy after a surprise jump in the United Kingdom inflation is supporting the Pound Sterling.

Economists at Bank of America Global Research (BoA) are expecting a 25bp BoE rate hike, with dovish guidance.

The USD Index is struggling to sustain above 102.00 and is expected to extend its downside journey as the spotlight has shifted to risk-perceived assets. S&P500 futures have recovered firmly, indicating some revival in the risk appetite of the market participants.

GBP/USD is auctioning in a Rising Channel chart pattern on a four-hour scale in which every pullback is considered as a buying opportunity by the market participants. The Cable is marching towards the horizontal resistance plotted from December 13 high at 1.2444.

The 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.2245 is providing cushion to the Pound Sterling bulls.

A range shift move by the Relative Strength into the bullish arena of 40.00-80.00 from the bearish region of 20.00-60.00 indicates more upside ahead.

The Cable has already shown a stellar rally, therefore, a mean-reversion move to near 10-period EMA 1.2275 would be an optimal opportunity for making fresh long. This will drive the asset toward December 05 high at 1.2345 followed by the horizontal resistance plotted from December 13 high at 1.2444.

On the flip side, a breakdown below March 21 low at 1.2212 would drag the Cable toward the round-level support around 1.2100 and March 15 low around 1.2000.

GBP/USD four-hour chart

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price	1.2329
Today Daily Change	0.0064
Today Daily Change %	0.52
Today daily open	1.2265

Trends
Daily SMA20	1.2057
Daily SMA50	1.2146
Daily SMA100	1.2073
Daily SMA200	1.1894

Levels
Previous Daily High	1.2336
Previous Daily Low	1.2209
Previous Weekly High	1.2204
Previous Weekly Low	1.201
Previous Monthly High	1.2402
Previous Monthly Low	1.1915
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1.2287
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1.2257
Daily Pivot Point S1	1.2204
Daily Pivot Point S2	1.2143
Daily Pivot Point S3	1.2077
Daily Pivot Point R1	1.2331
Daily Pivot Point R2	1.2397
Daily Pivot Point R3	1.2458

Author

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

AUD/USD flirts with 0.7000, lowest since early August amid bullish USD

AUD/USD hits a fresh low since early August during the Asian session on Friday and looks vulnerable near 0.7000 after breaking below the 200-day SMA overnight. Against the backdrop of the hawkish Fed, a two-day rally in oil prices revives inflation fears and continues to push US bond yields to multi-year highs. Adding to this, geopolitical risks lift the US Dollar to a two-month high, overshadowing RBA rate hike bets and weighing on the pair.

USD/JPY pulls back from three-week high after failing near 159.00

USD/JPY edges lower during the Asian session on Friday, stalling its recent strong move to a three-week high of 159.00 as Japanese Yen bears turn cautious amid intervention fears. Meanwhile, the US Dollar retains a strong bullish undertone as the Fed's hawkish outlook and oil-driven inflation fears continue to push US bond yields to multi-year peaks. Furthermore, the BoJ's dovish rate hike last week might cap JPY and support spot prices.

Gold treads water below $4,300

Gold grabs some buying attention and advances marginally at the end of the week, partially retracing the weekly decline, although it is still navigating below the key $4,300 mark per troy ounce. The fresh selling bias on the Greenback and the modest decline in US Treasury yields appear to support the humble advance in the precious metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin and Ethereum edge lower, XRP extends recovery as macro headwinds weigh

The broader cryptocurrency market is consolidating on Friday, with Bitcoin paring losses slightly above $84,000. Ethereum declines in tandem with BTC. Ripple (XRP), meanwhile, paints a different picture.

Fed vs BoJ: Both hiked. The market only believes one of them – and the chart shows which

The Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) have just done something remarkably similar. Both central banks raised interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) last week, both are confronting inflation risks, and both signal that future decisions will depend on incoming economic data.

Fed vs BoJ: Both hiked. The market only believes one of them – and the chart shows which

The Fed and the BoJ have just done something remarkably similar. Both central banks raised interest rates by 25 bps last week, both are confronting inflation risks, and both signal that future decisions will depend on incoming economic data.