|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Needs acceptance above 1.2500 for a fresh rally

  • GBP/USD has rebounded firmly amid an absence of recovery signs in the auction of the USD Index.
  • Investors are ignoring US banking woes and are cheering upbeat quarterly results from the US tech firms, portraying a risk-on mood.
  • UK’s new-home buyers market is declining as higher interest rates are making interest obligations less affordable.

The GBP/USD pair has delivered a breakout of the consolidation formed in a range of 1.2453-1.2477 in the early London session. The Cable has rebounded firmly amid further correction by the US Dollar Index (DXY).

S&P500 futures have added significant gains in the Asian session as investors are ignoring fears of US banking and are cheering upbeat quarterly results from United States technology companies. Market mood is improving as the Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to sound neutral on interest rate guidance after an interest rate hike of 25 basis points (bps).

On the Pound Sterling front, higher interest rates by the Bank of England (BoE) are creating more trouble for households. Persimmon, United Kingdom’s largest domestic property developer, said on Wednesday, the new-home buyers market is declining as higher interest rates are making interest obligations less affordable.

GBP/USD is gyrating in the 200-pip range for more than two weeks. The upside of the Cable is restricted by resistance plotted from April 14 high at 1.2545 while the downside is being supported near April 10 low at 1.2344. The asset is auctioning above the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.2463, however, the lack of upside momentum indicates that the upside bias is not strong enough.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has dropped into the 40.00-60.00 range, which conveys that investors are awaiting a critical trigger for further moves.

A decisive move above April 14 high at 1.2545 will drive the asset towards a fresh 10-month high at 1.2597, which is 08 June 2022 high. A breach of the latter will expose the asset to May 27 high at 1.2667.

On the flip side, a slippage below April 10 low at 1.2345 will expose the asset to March 30 low at 1.2294 followed by March 27 low at 1.2219.

GBP/USD two-hour chart

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2484
Today Daily Change0.0014
Today Daily Change %0.11
Today daily open1.247
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2434
Daily SMA501.223
Daily SMA1001.2206
Daily SMA2001.1934
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2516
Previous Daily Low1.2403
Previous Weekly High1.2474
Previous Weekly Low1.2354
Previous Monthly High1.2424
Previous Monthly Low1.1803
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2472
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2446
Daily Pivot Point S11.241
Daily Pivot Point S21.235
Daily Pivot Point S31.2297
Daily Pivot Point R11.2522
Daily Pivot Point R21.2575
Daily Pivot Point R31.2635

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.