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GBP/USD Price Analysis: Further downside hinges on 1.3655 break

  • GBP/USD remains depressed, keeps last week’s pullback from 200-DMA.
  • Receding bullish bias of MACD, nearly overbought RSI signal further weakness.
  • Previous resistance line from September, two-week-old support line limit immediate downside.
  • 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, 100-DMA act as additional trading filters.

GBP/USD bounces off intraday low to 1.3675 during Monday’s Asian session. Even so, the cable pair holds onto the previous week’s U-turn from the 200-DMA.

In addition to the failures to cross the key moving average, easing bullish bias of the MACD and the overbought RSI conditions also hint at the GBP/USD pair’s further declines.

However, a convergence of a four-month-old previous resistance line and an upward sloping trend line from January 03, around 1.3655, becomes the key short-term support.

Also likely to challenge the GBP/USD bears is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of the September-December downturn, near 1.3620, as well as the 100-DMA level of 1.3550.

Meanwhile, recovery moves may attempt to cross the 200-DMA level of 1.3735 whereas the 78.6% Fibo. level surrounding 1.3755 acts as an additional filter to the north.

Should GBP/USD bulls manage to cross the 1.3755 hurdle, tops marked in October and September 2021, respectively around 1.3835 and 1.3915, will be in focus.

GBP/USD: Daily chart

Trend: Further weakness expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.3674
Today Daily Change-0.0006
Today Daily Change %-0.04%
Today daily open1.368
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3502
Daily SMA501.3405
Daily SMA1001.3553
Daily SMA2001.3737
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3743
Previous Daily Low1.3654
Previous Weekly High1.3749
Previous Weekly Low1.3532
Previous Monthly High1.355
Previous Monthly Low1.3161
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3688
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3709
Daily Pivot Point S11.3641
Daily Pivot Point S21.3603
Daily Pivot Point S31.3552
Daily Pivot Point R11.373
Daily Pivot Point R21.3781
Daily Pivot Point R31.382

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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