GBP/USD Price Analysis: Failure at 1.3430 opens the door for a further downfall, towards 1.3200

GBP/USD reclaims the 1.3400, as it recovers from three-days previous losses.
A weaker US dollar boosts the British pound, despite BoE dovishness in its last monetary policy meeting.
GBP/USD: Failure to hold 1.3400 could send the pair tumbling to the 1.3200 zone.

Christian Borjon Valencia FXStreet

The British pound bounces off year-to-date lows at 1.3352, edges up 0.40%, trading at 1.3418 during the New York session at the time of writing. In the last three days, cable lost almost 2%, driven mainly by US dollar strength, influenced by higher inflation figures in the US economy, reported by the Labor Department. Also, a dovish stance perceived by investors in the last Bank of England (BoE) monetary policy meeting fueled the slide of the GBP.

US Dollar weakness boost the British pound, which reclaims the 1.3400 figure

The US Dollar Index, which measures the greenback’s performance against its peers, slides 0.03%, sitting at 95.11, acting as a headwind on the USD against the GBP.

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

In the daily chart, the GBP/USD pair is trading within a descending channel, approaching the bottom-trendline around the 1.3350 area. Further, the daily moving averages (DMA’s) reside above the spot price, though supporting the downward bias.

In the case of a daily close above the Thursday high at 1.3433, it could spur an upside move in the pair, towards the psychological 1.3500 area, that also coincides with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, a price level that GBP/USD sellers would defend to resume the downward bias.

On the flip side, failure at 1.3433 could open the door for a further downfall in the GBP/USD pair. The first support would be the Friday low at 1.3353, followed by the bottom of the descending channel around the 1.3300 area, a level last seen in December 2020. A breach of that level would expose December 12, 2020, low at 1.3188.

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price	1.3418
Today Daily Change	0.0054
Today Daily Change %	0.40
Today daily open	1.3364

Trends
Daily SMA20	1.3662
Daily SMA50	1.3676
Daily SMA100	1.3742
Daily SMA200	1.3846

Levels
Previous Daily High	1.3433
Previous Daily Low	1.3359
Previous Weekly High	1.3698
Previous Weekly Low	1.3424
Previous Monthly High	1.3834
Previous Monthly Low	1.3434
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1.3387
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1.3405
Daily Pivot Point S1	1.3337
Daily Pivot Point S2	1.3311
Daily Pivot Point S3	1.3263
Daily Pivot Point R1	1.3412
Daily Pivot Point R2	1.346
Daily Pivot Point R3	1.3486

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

FXStreet

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

AUD/USD: Next upside target comes at 0.7000

AUD/USD has advanced further, clinching its third consecutive day of gains and trading at shouting distance from the key 0.7000 threshold on Tuesday. The widespread improved sentiment in the risk complex helped the Aussie maintain its upside momentum, while the fresh selling impulse in the Greenback also contributed to the move.

USD/JPY rises back above 158.00 despite hawkish BoJ outlook

USD/JPY rises back above 158.00 in the early European morning on Tuesday. The pair strengthens as the Japanese Yen fails to find any inspiration from hawkish BoJ expectations and looming intervention risks. Meanwhile, geopolitical uncertainty and elevated US bond yields keep the US Dollar near its YTD high despite receding October Fed hike bets. This, in turn, helps the pair stay supported.

Gold stays firm; looks at $4,200

Gold builds on Monday’s marginal bounce, although it struggles to reclaim the key $4,200 mark per troy ounce so far on Tuesday. The yellow metal’s advance comes on the back of the fresh downside momentum in the US Dollar in tandem with retreating US Treasury yields across the curve.

Ethena Price Forecast: ENA corrects as Ether.Fi launches stablecoin on the protocol

Ethena (ENA) trades near $0.24000 on Tuesday amid growing technical weakness. The Ethereum Layer-2 token has shed some of its recent gains, which peaked at $0.2946 on September 27, reinforcing profit-taking and buyer exhaustion. An extended sell-off would bring ENA to test the psychological support at $0.2000 and key technical levels further down.

Japanese Yen nears 158.00: Two analysts agree it's bullish, and disagree on how far the breakout goes

The JPY is drifting near 158.00 against the USD ahead of a busy week of Japanese data and a still-unclear BoJ timetable. The two most recent FXStreet analyses agree on the direction, but they disagree on the target and the mechanism.

Eurozone inflation just hit 3.8%, its highest in three years. This chart shows why the ECB can’t simply hike its way out

The ECB would normally have a relatively straightforward answer to inflation running almost twice its target: raise interest rates. But these are not normal circumstances. This time, the bond market is already doing part of the tightening for it, leaving the ECB facing an increasingly difficult dilemma.