|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Cable bears eye 1.2570 and UK GDP

  • GBP/USD stays pressured within three-week-old bearish trend channel.
  • Oversold RSI prods Cable sellers ahead of the key data but bearish MACD signals keep bears hopeful.
  • Firmer US Treasury bond yields, fears of UK recession also weigh on Pound Sterling.

GBP/USD remains on the back foot at the lowest level in a week, pressured near 1.2670 amid the early hours of Friday’s Asian session. In doing so, the Cable pair traders portray the cautious mood within a three-week-old bearish trend channel, despite holding lower grounds after declining in the last three consecutive days.

It’s worth noting that the Pound Sterling trader’s anxiety can be linked to Friday’s scheduled release of the first readings of the UK’s second quarter (Q2) Gross Domestic Product (GDP), expected 0.0% QoQ versus 0.1% prior, especially amid fears of British recession.

Also read: GBP/USD wavers amid US CPI data; traders focus on UK’s GDP

Adding credence to the downside bias are the bearish MACD signals. However, the nearly oversold RSI hints at the Cable pair’s corrective bounce off the stated channel’s bottom line, close to 1.2570 at the latest.

It should be noted that April’s peak of around 1.2550 and 50% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s March-July upside, near 1.2470, could challenge the GBP/USD bears afterward. In a case where the quote fails to bounce off 1.2470, it becomes vulnerable to test the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of around 1.2310.

On the contrary, GBP/USD bears keep the reins unless the quote defies the channel formation by crossing the 1.2790 hurdle. Even so, a convergence of the previous support line stretched from March and the 21-DMA, close to 1.2835-40 at the latest, appears a tough nut to crack for the Pound Sterling bulls.

GBP/USD: Daily chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.2674
Today Daily Change-0.0045
Today Daily Change %-0.35%
Today daily open1.2719
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2867
Daily SMA501.2757
Daily SMA1001.26
Daily SMA2001.2337
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2782
Previous Daily Low1.2712
Previous Weekly High1.2873
Previous Weekly Low1.2621
Previous Monthly High1.3142
Previous Monthly Low1.2659
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2739
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2755
Daily Pivot Point S11.2693
Daily Pivot Point S21.2668
Daily Pivot Point S31.2623
Daily Pivot Point R11.2763
Daily Pivot Point R21.2808
Daily Pivot Point R31.2834

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays weak near 1.1650 ahead of critical US events

EUR/USD stays in the red near 1.1650 in the European trading hours on Friday. The pair remains undermined by broad US Dollar strength and a cautious market mood. Traders keenly await the US Nonfarm Payrolls data and Supreme Court's ruling on Trump's tariff powers for further direction. 

GBP/USD holds lower ground below 1.3450, with eyes on US data

GBP/USD remains subdued for the fourth consecutive day, while trading below 1.3450 in the European session on Friday. Markets remain in a wait-and-see mode before the key US event risks and prefer to hold the US Dollar, which weighs negatively on the pair. The US monthly jobs data and the Supreme Court decision on tariffs are awaited. 

Gold flat lines around $4,475; looks to US NFP report for fresh impetus

Gold reverses a modest intraday dip to the $4,453 area, and trades near the top end of its daily range heading into the European session. The upside, however, seems limited as traders might opt to wait for the US Nonfarm Payrolls report later today. The crucial employment details will be looked upon for more cues about the Federal Reserve's rate-cut path.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple find key support, reviving rally hopes

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple steadied above key support levels on Friday after being rejected at mid-week resistance zones. The short-term recovery prospects remain intact if the top three cryptocurrencies by market capitalization hold these support zones.

2026 economic outlook: Clear skies but don’t unfasten your seatbelts yet

Most years fade into the background as soon as a new one starts. Not 2025: a year of epochal shifts, in which the macroeconomy was the dog that did not bark. What to expect in 2026? The shocks of 2025 will not be undone, but neither will they be repeated.

Pepe Price Forecast: PEPE risks 100-day EMA fallout as bullish interest fades

Pepe is under extreme selling pressure, trading in the red for the fifth consecutive day, down 1% at press time on Friday. Pepe’s decline following a 72% hike last week suggests a likely profit-booking phase, while on-chain data indicates declining network activity.