|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Bulls are coming up for air but face strong bearish pressure

  • GBP/USD bulls are taking up the baton but vs. string bearish momentum. 
  • Bears are pushing the bulls to the edge of the abyss on the longer-term time frames. 

GBP/USD has been pushed into cycle lows on Thursday ahead of major data from the US on Friday. While there are no signs of an imminent correction on the longer time frames, the 4-hour chart is starting to pull back which gives rise to a potential opportunity to the upside. 

The following illustrates the price action and structures on the weekly, daily and 4-hour charts.

GBP/USD weekly chart

The weekly chart has left an M-formation behind from the past few weeks of price action. This is a reversion pattern that would be expected to pull the price back towards the neckline in due course. Currently, prior lows of mid-August business align with a 38.25 Fibonacci level. 

GBP/USD daily chart 

From a daily perspective, the M-formation is over-extended and has started to correct the price higher. 

GBP/USD H4 chart

The 4-hour chart sees the price moving in towards a prior support level that currently aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level near 1.1570 which could be targetted for the day ahead. 

However, the bulls will need to get over the 61.8% ratio on the hourly time frame first or face a potential downside continuation the forthcoming sessions:

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD seems vulnerable near 0.6800, 10-month low amid bullish USD

AUD/USD languishes near a 10-month low during the Asian session on Friday, awaiting a break below 0.6800 before the next leg up amid a bullish US Dollar. Firming Fed rate-hike expectations, along with fading hopes for US-Iran diplomacy, help the USD hold gains at its highest level since April 2025. Moreover, the RBA’s dovish tilt undermines the Aussie and backs the case for further losses.

USD/JPY bulls turn cautious near 160.00 amid intervention risks

USD/JPY enters a bullish consolidation phase around its highest level since early September as bulls turn cautious amid intervention risk near 160.00. Meanwhile, the downside seems cushioned as the wide US-Japan interest rate gap keeps the Yen carry trade active. Furthermore, the possibility of a jumbo Fed rate hike and Middle East uncertainties hold the US Dollar near a 19-month top, supporting the currency pair.



Gold remains on the back foot below $3,900

Gold now alternates gains with losses below the $3,900 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal struggles to regain traction amid the firmer US Dollar, mixed US Treasury yields and expectations of further tightening by the Fed at its December meeting.

Bitcoin just posted five straight losing weeks, and the storm may not be over yet

Bitcoin is struggling to find support, slipping below $70,000 as multiple headwinds threaten to push the Crypto King lower. The much-anticipated “Uptober” rally failed to materialize, with persistent selling pressure and widespread liquidations instead reinforcing the “Rektober” narrative.

Week ahead – Fed Minutes, inflation data and Nvidia earnings to guide investors

Fed minutes may add to hawkish tone as bets of 50-bps hike grow. Nvidia to report earnings as bar to impress high after spy scandal. Trade and geopolitics to be focal point of Trump-Xi summit.

Gold hit its lowest level of 2026 near $3,850
Gold (XAU/USD) attempts to stabilize around $3,890 on Friday after falling to $3,852 on Thursday, its lowest level since October 2025. The precious metal has lost more than 4% this week, as investors increasingly anticipate further monetary tightening from the Federal Reserve (Fed). The latest decline reflects a sharp change in market expectations.