|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Braces for a bumpy road to south, 200-DMA in the spotlight

  • GBP/USD consolidates the biggest daily loss in a fortnight around weekly low.
  • Ascending trend lines from January and last November precede 200-DMA to challenge bears.
  • U-turn from 50-DMA, bearish MACD signals favor sellers.

GBP/USD stays defensive around 1.2030, bouncing off the weekly low, as it licks the previous day’s wounds during early Thursday.

In doing so, the Cable pair rebounds from a six-week-old support line after falling the most in a fortnight. The recovery moves, however, remain elusive considering the quote’s sustained U-turn from the 50-DMA and the bearish MACD signals.

It’s worth noting, though, that the ascending support lines from early January and mid-November 2022, respectively around 1.2000 and 1.1985 in that order, restrict the short-term downside of the GBP/USD pair.

Following that, the 200-DMA level of 1.1940 gains the major attention of the bears targeting the mid-November 2022 bottom around 1.1760. However, the previous monthly low surrounding 1.1840 could offer an intermediate halt during the fall.

Meanwhile, GBP/USD recovery remains elusive unless crossing the 50-DMA hurdle of near 1.2180.

In a case where the GBP/USD price remains firmer past 50-DMA, a one-month-old horizontal resistance near 1.2260 will be in focus as it holds the key for the Cable pair’s run-up toward the multiple tops marked since late 2022 around 1.2450.

Overall, GBP/USD is likely to remain depressed but the downside room appears limited.

GBP/USD: Daily chart

Trend: Limited downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.2034
Today Daily Change-0.0143
Today Daily Change %-1.17%
Today daily open1.2177
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2249
Daily SMA501.2186
Daily SMA1001.1874
Daily SMA2001.1943
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.227
Previous Daily Low1.2118
Previous Weekly High1.2194
Previous Weekly Low1.1961
Previous Monthly High1.2448
Previous Monthly Low1.1841
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2212
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2176
Daily Pivot Point S11.2107
Daily Pivot Point S21.2036
Daily Pivot Point S31.1954
Daily Pivot Point R11.2259
Daily Pivot Point R21.234
Daily Pivot Point R31.2411

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).