|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Braces for a bumpy road to south, 200-DMA in the spotlight

  • GBP/USD consolidates the biggest daily loss in a fortnight around weekly low.
  • Ascending trend lines from January and last November precede 200-DMA to challenge bears.
  • U-turn from 50-DMA, bearish MACD signals favor sellers.

GBP/USD stays defensive around 1.2030, bouncing off the weekly low, as it licks the previous day’s wounds during early Thursday.

In doing so, the Cable pair rebounds from a six-week-old support line after falling the most in a fortnight. The recovery moves, however, remain elusive considering the quote’s sustained U-turn from the 50-DMA and the bearish MACD signals.

It’s worth noting, though, that the ascending support lines from early January and mid-November 2022, respectively around 1.2000 and 1.1985 in that order, restrict the short-term downside of the GBP/USD pair.

Following that, the 200-DMA level of 1.1940 gains the major attention of the bears targeting the mid-November 2022 bottom around 1.1760. However, the previous monthly low surrounding 1.1840 could offer an intermediate halt during the fall.

Meanwhile, GBP/USD recovery remains elusive unless crossing the 50-DMA hurdle of near 1.2180.

In a case where the GBP/USD price remains firmer past 50-DMA, a one-month-old horizontal resistance near 1.2260 will be in focus as it holds the key for the Cable pair’s run-up toward the multiple tops marked since late 2022 around 1.2450.

Overall, GBP/USD is likely to remain depressed but the downside room appears limited.

GBP/USD: Daily chart

Trend: Limited downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.2034
Today Daily Change-0.0143
Today Daily Change %-1.17%
Today daily open1.2177
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2249
Daily SMA501.2186
Daily SMA1001.1874
Daily SMA2001.1943
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.227
Previous Daily Low1.2118
Previous Weekly High1.2194
Previous Weekly Low1.1961
Previous Monthly High1.2448
Previous Monthly Low1.1841
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2212
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2176
Daily Pivot Point S11.2107
Daily Pivot Point S21.2036
Daily Pivot Point S31.1954
Daily Pivot Point R11.2259
Daily Pivot Point R21.234
Daily Pivot Point R31.2411

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD stays weak below 1.3600 as USD bulls await Warsh's speech

GBP/USD is consolidating near the lower end of its weekly range, below the 1.3600 mark, during European trading hours on Thursday. The pair's downside, however, remains cushioned as traders await Fed Chair Warsh's speech on Friday for more cues about the US central bank's interest rate path before placing fresh directional bets.

EUR/USD holds range around 1.1650 as USD steadies

EUR/USD keeps its range around 1.1650 in the European session on Thursday. Hawkish ECB expectations support the pair as the US Dollar consolidates after the US PCE data-driven advance. The focus remains on Middle East developments and US Jobless Claims data.

Gold struggles to build on gains as traders await Fed Chair Warsh's speech for rate cues

Gold struggles to capitalize on modest Asian session gains on Thursday and remains below its highest level since May 14, touched earlier this week. Traders now seem hesitant to place aggressive directional bets and wait for US Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium on Friday for cues on the future policy path. The outlook, in turn, will play a key role in influencing the US Dollar price dynamics and provide some meaningful impetus to the non-yielding bullion.

Ripple eases to $1.40, Solana hits $100, DOGE capped below $0.10
Ripple (XRP) and Dogecoin (DOGE) are facing downside pressure after double-digit gains last week, while Solana (SOL) extends its rally to $100. The technical outlook for XRP, SOL, and DOGE points to potential upside as the broader market sustains a risk-on sentiment.
Jackson Hole kicks off after upside PCE surprise
In China, industrial profits rose 17.6% y/y to CNY 4.58tn in the first seven months of 2026, slowing from an 18.7% increase in January-June. The moderation follows several months of strong profit growth around 20% y/y, supported by higher producer prices and solid manufacturing activity.
Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole dilemma: Say too much, too little, or just enough

Kevin Warsh is preparing to deliver his first Jackson Hole speech as Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair on Friday, and expectations extend well beyond whether interest rates will be raised or left unchanged in September.