GBP/USD: Mildly offered around 1.2550 as traders await Fed, BOE

GBP/USD retreats towards the two-year low marked last week, fades the previous day’s rebound.
BOE vs. Fed drama keeps the pair pressured, Brexit woes also keep sellers hopeful.
US dollar stays firmer around 20-year high as yields back bulls ahead of the Fed’s 0.50% rate hike.
BOE sounds less optimistic due to economic challenges, which in turn can supersede Fed’s normal action, if any, to favor bears.

Anil Panchal FXStreet

GBP/USD fails to extend the previous day’s corrective pullback from a two-year low, down 0.15% intraday as sellers attack 1.2550 during early Monday morning in Europe.

The cable pair’s latest weakness could be linked to the US dollar’s strong start to the key week comprising the monetary policy meeting of the Fed, as well as April’s Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP). Also weighing on the quote are the chatters surrounding the Bank of England (BOE) policymakers’ inability to copy the Fed’s tune, due to economic hardships at home.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) reverses the previous day’s pullback from a 20-year high with 0.22% intraday gains around 103.45 as traders rush to the greenback in search of risk-safety during the key week. Also helping the USD are the firmer US Treasury yields and recent fears emanating from Russia and China.

It’s worth noting that the uncertainties surrounding Brexit, the UK’s inability to match NATO spending commitments and doubts over UK PM Boris Johnson’s “right to buy” policy also exert downside pressure on the GBP/USD prices.

Amid these plays, the US stock futures rise half a percent but the US 10-year Treasury yields regain upside momentum, around 2.93% at the latest.

Although week-start buying of the USD recently weighed on the GBP/USD prices, today’s US ISM Manufacturing PMI for April, expected at 58.0 versus 57.1 prior, will be important for intraday directions. However, major attention will be given to Wednesday’s Fed moves and Thursday‘s BOE action.

Also read: GBP/USD Weekly Forecast: In search of a bottom, with eyes on Fed and BOE

Technical analysis

Late 2020 bottom surrounding 1.2675 guards the quote’s immediate rebound. Until then, GBP/USD remains vulnerable to refreshing the multi-day low, currently around 1.2410.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price	1.2559
Today Daily Change	-0.0013
Today Daily Change %	-0.10%
Today daily open	1.2572

Trends
Daily SMA20	1.2924
Daily SMA50	1.3107
Daily SMA100	1.3301
Daily SMA200	1.3473

Levels
Previous Daily High	1.2615
Previous Daily Low	1.245
Previous Weekly High	1.2842
Previous Weekly Low	1.2411
Previous Monthly High	1.3167
Previous Monthly Low	1.2411
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1.2552
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1.2513
Daily Pivot Point S1	1.2477
Daily Pivot Point S2	1.2381
Daily Pivot Point S3	1.2312
Daily Pivot Point R1	1.2641
Daily Pivot Point R2	1.271
Daily Pivot Point R3	1.2805

Author

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

AUD/USD holds rebound near 0.6900 on US-China trade optimism

AUD/USD holds the rebound near 0.6900 in the Asian session on Monday. Mixed China's inflation data for October fails to provide any inspiration to the Chinese proxy, the Australian Dollar, but China's extension of the suspension of 24% tariffs on US goods and reduced US-Iran tensions help the Aussie pair cling to recovery gains.

USD/JPY retreat in sync with USD, appraches 158.00

USD/JPY is back in the red at the start of the week on Monday, eyeing the broad US Dollar retreat amid easing US-Iran tensions. Traders also resorting to profit-taking following the blockbuster US Nonfarm Payrolls data-led rally. US CPI report is next in focus.

Gold rises amid US-Iran peace deal hopes, softer US Dollar

Gold price recovers some lost ground above $4,020 during the early European trading hours on Monday. The prospects of diplomacy in the US-Iran conflict and weaker US Dollar (USD) boost the precious metal.

Bitcoin faces pressure as weekly ETF outflows hit $1.28 billion

Bitcoin remains under pressure on Monday, trading below the 50-week Simple Moving Average at $75,222 after extending its losing streak to five consecutive weeks. Bearish sentiment strengthened as $1.28 billion in net outflows from spot BTC Exchange-Traded Funds last week marked the largest weekly withdrawal since late June.

Economics week ahead

This week, attention turns to Tuesday’s CPI report, with no year-over-year readings available because of last October’s shutdown-related data gap. We expect headline and core inflation to clock 0.28% and 0.21% month-over-month, respectively. Softer core inflation would offer some relief after September’s upside surprise but should still leave our call for a December rate hike intact.

US Dollar breaks below 101.50 as Democrats sweep Congress

The US Dollar (USD) comes under heavy selling pressure on Wednesday, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) falling around 0.5% to trade near 101.35 after sliding below the 101.50 level. The Greenback retreats to its lowest level in four weeks as investors reassess the political and economic outlook following the Democratic Party's sweeping victory in the United States (US) midterm elections.