|

GBP/USD holds on to recovery gains ahead of UK Manufacturing PMI, US NFP

  • GBP/USD takes the bids amid UK political optimism, greenback weakness.
  • US-China trade story keeps risk sentiment dwindled ahead of the key data.
  • Fedspeak and the US ISM Manufacturing PMI add to the catalysts.

GBP/USD keeps its latest recovery mode active as it takes the bids to 1.2960 while heading into the London open on Friday.

The pair has recently been favored by an improvement in odds that favors the United Kingdom’s (UK) Prime Minister (PM) Boris Johnson’s victory in the upcoming snap general election. Recently adding to the Tory side happiness was the news that the Brexit party is pulling out of many polls, which in turn helps PM Johnson.

Polls from Britain Elects show Tories in the lead with 36.1% – up 1% since October 25 – while all other UK-wide parties are losing ground. The opposition Labour Party, led by Jeremy Corbyn, is down 0.4% to 24.9%. That puts the gap at over 12%.

Not only the UK residents but the United States (US) President Donald Trump also openly criticized the opposition Labour Party leader Jeremy Corbyn while saying that he will be “so bad” for Britain.

On the other hand, the US Dollar (USD) keeps its downwards trajectory intact as pessimism surrounding the US-China trade pessimism increases and the same has been well pointed out by the Chinese diplomats at the end of a key meeting.

Markets are likely to wait for the October month Markit Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) from the UK, followed by the US employment data, ISM Manufacturing PMI and comments from the key Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers.

Expectations favor a downbeat print of the UK manufacturing gauge to confront forecast of recovery in the US manufacturing data and mixed employment statistics with likely weak Nonfarm Payrolls.

Technical Analysis

Prices need a sustained break above 1.3000, also crossing the October month high near 1.3015, to rise towards May month top surrounding 1.3180, failing to which can recall the June top near 1.2780.

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD bounces off lows, back above 1.3200

After bottoming out near 1.3160, GBP/USD manages to regain a bit of shine and reclaim the 1.3200 mark and beyond at the end of the week. Stronger-than-expected UK Retail Sales data seem to be helping the British Pound limit its losses, while the chaotic UK political environment keeps the bulls at bay for now.

EUR/USD looks consolidative around 1.1460

EUR/USD stages a modest rebound after slipping to a three-month low below 1.1420 at the end of the week. That said, the pair now looks to consolidate humble gains just above 1.1460 despite growing uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations, which keeps the US Dollar’s downside contained.

Gold slips back to six-day lows, targets $4,100

Gold retreats for the third consecutive day on Friday, eroding gains seen in the first half of the week and approaching the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce. Indeed, the precious metal continues to face headwinds from the Fed's hawkish stance and renewed uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations.

Breaking: Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz amid ceasefire deal violation
Iran says it is closing the Strait of Hormuz after accusing the United States (US) and Israel of violating the ceasefire. According to Iran, the decision came over the continued Israeli strikes in Lebanon. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy issued a warning to all vessels: "Do not approach the Strait of Hormuz; otherwise, your security will be jeopardized."
The Iran war didn't break the US economy, but what happens next?

Nearly four months after the start of the Iran war, the US economy remains remarkably resilient. While the conflict initially triggered a severe disruption to global energy markets and a sharp rise in Oil prices, recent diplomatic progress between Washington and Tehran has eased concerns about a prolonged supply shock.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.