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GBP/USD consolidates below 5-month tops, focus remains on key EU summit

  • The incoming positive Brexit headlines helped reverse an early dip on Wednesday.
  • Fed rate cut expectations continued weighing on the USD and remained supportive.
  • Thursday’s key focus will be on the highly-anticipated European Council summit.

The GBP/USD pair was seen oscillating in a narrow trading band through the Asian session on Thursday and consolidated the overnight positive move to five-month tops.
 
The pair on Wednesday quickly reversed an intraday dip to the 1.2655 region and surged through the 1.2800 handle to its highest level since mid-May amid a flurry of Brexit-related headlines. The initial leg down was triggered by not so optimistic comments by a UK official, saying that the government was downbeat on chances of a Brexit deal.

Brexit newsflow remains an exclusive driver

The British Pound was further weighed down by reports that suggested technical Brexit negotiations have reached an impasse and that the EU sees Brexit deal as impossible unless the UK moves. Wednesday's slight disappointment from the latest UK consumer inflation figures did little to influence the pair's intraday two-way price swings.
 
However, comments by French President Macron, saying that a Brexit agreement was being finalized, provided a much-needed respite to the GBP bulls. This was further reinforced by German Chancellor Angela Merkel, who said that Brexit talks are now in the final meters and provided an additional lift to the Sterling.
 
Meanwhile, reports that the main stumbling block to a deal has been removed and that the DUP has accepted the latest proposals on consent remained supportive. Adding to this, the prevalent US Dollar selling bias, amid firming Fed rate cut expectations, further collaborated to the pair's goodish intraday positive move of over 200 pips.
 
The pair eased a bit from daily tops and now seems to have entered a consolidation phase as investors refrained from placing any additional bullish bets ahead of the crucial European Council Summit, starting this Thursday, which will effectively determine whether the UK will leave the EU with a deal on October 31 or not.

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2821
Today Daily Change-0.0011
Today Daily Change %-0.09
Today daily open1.2832
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2423
Daily SMA501.2307
Daily SMA1001.2415
Daily SMA2001.2714
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.288
Previous Daily Low1.2656
Previous Weekly High1.2707
Previous Weekly Low1.2194
Previous Monthly High1.2583
Previous Monthly Low1.1958
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2794
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2742
Daily Pivot Point S11.2698
Daily Pivot Point S21.2565
Daily Pivot Point S31.2474
Daily Pivot Point R11.2922
Daily Pivot Point R21.3013
Daily Pivot Point R31.3146

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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