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GBP/USD consolidates below 1.29 and key resistance structure

  • GBP/USD holding offer the bears but struggles below key resistance.
  • Brexit keeps the bulls at bay and US stimulus hopes pressure the greenback.

GBP/USD is currently trading at 1.2885 and between a range of 1.2819 and 1.2978 on the day.

Brexit remains in focus and GBP has weakened on suggestions the latest round in negotiations has hit a snag. 

The EU has begun legal proceedings against the UK after the Kingdom's PM, Boris Johnson, outlined plans to breach the terms of its Brexit divorce deal with the EU and therefore break international law. 

''We had anticipated a souring of the week’s earlier tone and think GBP should continue to lag its peers near-term. Further out, however, we think sterling has a lot of bad news in the price and wonder if downside risks for cable of a No Deal outcome are starting to diminish,'' analysts at TD Securities explained.

The UK has one month to respond to the legal challenge while the negotiations continue.

''The decision by the UK to ignore international law sets a dangerous precedent, adding uncertainty to not only Brexit but also global stability. It undermines the power of the WTO,'' analysts at ANZ bank explained. 

However, both sides say a deal is in sight despite that they are struggling to reach an agreement on some key issues.

One of the major issues is around the UK's ability to use state aid in order to prop up British businesses. The EU says this could give British companies an unfair advantage over EU companies. Disputes over fishing rights and governance are also preventing headway.

Meanwhile, the US dollar was pressured to a low in the 93.50s as measured by the DXY index as investors juggled hopeful and pessimistic news on the progress of stimulus talks Washington amid signs of waning momentum of economic recovery from the pandemic recession, now entering its ninth month. 

GBP/USD levels

If there is a continuation of accumulation at support, then the case will remain bullish.

However, a break of the structure opens downside risks.  

The US dollar, on the other hand, could be on the verge of a comeback:

 

Overview
Today last price1.2888
Today Daily Change-0.0033
Today Daily Change %-0.26
Today daily open1.2921
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2915
Daily SMA501.3028
Daily SMA1001.2751
Daily SMA2001.2719
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2943
Previous Daily Low1.2806
Previous Weekly High1.2967
Previous Weekly Low1.2676
Previous Monthly High1.3482
Previous Monthly Low1.2676
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.289
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2858
Daily Pivot Point S11.2837
Daily Pivot Point S21.2753
Daily Pivot Point S31.27
Daily Pivot Point R11.2974
Daily Pivot Point R21.3027
Daily Pivot Point R31.3112

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

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